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epicur

Net worth: H$908,556

Predictions made: 8279

Member since Tue 29th Jan

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epicur left these comments.

It still is court ORDERED. In your question title it does state ordered.

Anyway, I'm tired of this. If this site is going to allow you to curse (comment #14 & #23), accuse me without evidence (comment #23) and make bigoted sexual orientation slurs (comment #31) and still represent it, I have no place here. See the following getsatisfaction link.

http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/a_hubdub_representative_super_user_mork_not_being_a_good_role_model_for_hubdub
Mork the fine is a total of 16,000 Euros that the COURT ORDERED. Check my links in comment #9.
Newwrangler, she was found guilty. The question doesn't ask about guilt. It asks "Will Brigitte Bardot be ordered to pay $23,900 fine for inciting hatred?" That part is a "no."

If mork is a representative of hubdub as a super user, then this site is in trouble (cursing in comment #14 and 23, accusations of my motives in #23 without any evidence). How can you suspect my motives (comment # 23)? Got any evidence? NO. So I suggest you stop making wild accusations without evidence and just worry about writing your questions better next time. And for that matter, read and respond to comments in your questions. Comment # 2 and your lack of contradiction in comment # 3 and 5 (besides comment #6, which was after your comment) is what prompted my wagers.

With regard to our flagging questions for poor starting odds, I do it when I perceive it. In this case, I thought we were wagering on whether the prosecutor was going to get exactly what was asked for or whether the court might use discretion and adjust / change the punishment (such as the 1,000 Euros the court ORDERED for MRAP). The odds at the time of my wager seemed reasonable so I bet "no." Isn't that part of what this site is about? Disagreeing with people about potential news story outcomes and wagering against them.

Anyway, I'm done with this. The question has been settled and I'm moving on.
The annual meeting is set for August 1st. Yang will probably make it until then.

http://www.siliconvalley.com/latestheadlines/ci_9466255
Mork and Kruijs. Bardot was fined before for similar offenses. So in all likelihood, she would be fined again for repeating a similar offense. If the question was about whether she would be fined again, then write it that way. But this question was also about how much she would be fined (whether you wanted it as such or not, since an exact amount was given). I wagered that she would not necessarily be fined the exact amount the prosecutor was asking for. I would have wagered differently if it was about whether or not she would have been fined at all.
Don't give an exact amount for a fine if you are not looking for that exact amount. An extra 1,000 Euros would make a difference to me, wouldn't it to you?

What about other questions that give certain amounts (i.e. will this item sell for at least a certain amount of dollars, will a movie make a certain amount)? You wouldn't just say they made money, so we can settle those questions for any amount of earnings. This is just like those situations, it is a certain amount. That certain amount was not achieved.
Mork - what kind of representative of hubdub are you cursing in the comment section?

Kruijs and mork - I take offense to your common sense characterization. Two of the comments before this was settled discuss the problem with the exactness of the amount. No one commented about common sense then or contradicted their assertions. Anyway, the conversion claim is wrong. She was fined 15,000 euros and 1,000 euros to MRAP. Mork, this is not the 15,000 euros you claim. It is a total fine of 16,000 euros.
She was also fined $1,555 in damages to pay to MRAP, a French anti-racism group. This is not a simple conversion difference.
Glad to see this strange creature of a question is finally done. Despite the fact I did well on this one over time (cashing out often), I'm glad this one is done.
Here we go again. The question has a specific amount in it "$23,900." Was she fined this amount? No. Why was it settled as "yes" then? Numerous comments discuss how if the specific amount is not ordered it would be a "no." No official contradiction to these comments occurred allowing people to believe it would be a "no" without this specific amount. The link this was settled on says about $23,000. The links that follow give an exact amount of $23,325 + $1,555 in damages to MRAP, a French anti-racism group (the total, if you want to count it that way, is still = $24,880 not $23,900).


http://blogs.wsj.com/law/2008/06/03/not-again-brigitte-bardot-convicted-for-anti-muslim-rants/?mod=googlenews_wsj
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ixP8XeA1fg-eeiNgRz_M4fBicPAgD912LDIG0
http://www.eitb24.com/new/en/B24_100617/life/EURO15000-FINE-Brigitte-Bardot-convicted-over-racism/
http://abclocal.go.com/wpvi/story?section=news/entertainment&id=6181948
This should not be settled until the suspend date even if one of the choices occurs since a combination is an option.
Based upon the suspend date, I'm assuming this is for the non-waiver deadline of July 31 and not waiver deadline of August 31. There is much less activity on August 31, as the players must clear waivers to move teams.
I just want to be sure you are reffering to total medal count without weight given to gold (except for tie breakers). It appears to be obvious that your question is indicating such, but I'm looking for a little insurance before I wager to heavily.
It should do it within the next few days. The English-language Wikipedia currently contains 2,398,782 articles. 11:41 central standard time on June 3rd.
This is a joke. There are 3 different popular vote totals on the page the settlement link sends you to. Clinton does not lead in the top one on the page. Show me anywhere else in the press where they are saying Clinton really regained the popular vote. It would be a huge news story. This should not have been settled. They are not assigning the delegates for Michigan based upon popular vote. The DNC did not count the popular vote and assign delegates based upon it. They created an arbitrary ratio. Obama wasn't even on the ballot in Michigan and they gave him delegates. Comment #2 by Ryanj should not have allowed this to be settled
Only Clinton and hubdub believes she won the popular vote. Read some of the following links from sources such as Newsweek that dispute this popular vote claim:

http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/06/02/clinton-s-popular-vote-claim-close-but-no-cigar.aspx
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/politicalinsider/2008/06/clintons-popular-vote-claim-st.html

They only counted Michigan delegates at half strength and hubdub is going to count popular vote as full. This goes against comment #2. I wagered based on comment #2.
Only Clinton and this website believes she won the popular vote. Read some of the following links from sources such as Newsweek that dispute this popular vote claim:

http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/06/02/clinton-s-popular-vote-claim-close-but-no-cigar.aspx
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/politicalinsider/2008/06/clintons-popular-vote-claim-st.html

They only counted Michigan delegates at half strength and hubdub is going to count popular vote as full. This goes against comment #2. I wagered based on comment #2.

This is a joke. There are 3 different popular vote totals on the page this link sends you to. Clinton does not lead in the top one on the page. Show me anywhere else in the press where they are saying Clinton regained the popular vote. It would be a huge news story. This should not have been settled. They are not assigning the delegates for Michigan based upon popular vote. The DNC did not count the popular vote and assign delegates based upon it. They created an arbitrary ratio. Obama wasn't even on the ballot in Michigan and they gave him delegates. Comment #2 by Ryanj should not have allowed this to be settled.
This settled collapse is not a "tower crane." Just because it is one of the biggest cranes doesn't make it a tower crane. A tower crane works on towers. They are at the top of towers or on top of something next to a tower. Tower cranes are worrying people lately because non workers walk under them everyday, but they don't collapse often. Regular large cranes, on the other hand, collapse all the time. I supervise (as a surveyor) the loading and unloading of bulk product at the port of New Orleans. We have a crane collapse (usually the boom on the older kind that we are gradually replacing) every few months here alone (with injury and occasional fatalities). Now multiply that with every other port in the U.S. / Canada and this happens every month. This should have been settled only if a "TOWER CRANE" collapsed.
There is a problem with this question. Their names could contain some combination of X, Y and/or Z thus creating multiple answers that are non-exclusive.
I'm now guessing that the missing 10% is from canidates that were in the race (at the time of the poll - end of March) but are no longer.
The link in the background leads to a website where the polling numbers only add up to 90%. Did I read something incorrectly on that site?
Hubdubbob, are you from New Orleans? I've lived in N.O. all of my life.
So what about Thursday? Is this now a 5 day weekend? If it is not included, make sure to deduct it from the totals if it is included. Also, all of the numbers are still estimates. Might want to wait to actual numbers arrive so we don't have a reversal like Prince Caspian.
Before you wager on this one, click on the individuals name to see their net worth. The leaderboard has not been updating in a timely fashion the last 2 days.
Please edit date in title, I meant 7/15/08. Thanks.
If you dislike PayPal as much as I do, get ready for even more fun to come. EBay is testing in Australia if they can muscle it in as the only real choice (there, then everywhere else). If you would like further info on this and to predict on the outcome, see the following :

http://www.hubdub.com/m7079/Will_Ebay_Australia_be_able_to_force_sellers_to_only_accept_payment_via_Paypal_or_COD

Sorry Nigel about advertising on your question, but this issue (and my question) are not getting much traction.
With regard to ironman288's comment, the background says "The question will be settled as 'yes' if a fifth movie (starring Ford) is formally announced by the studio by December 31, 2008. " It seems to me the background indicates that it is a "yes" only if it is staring Harrison Ford. Not only that, Lucas and Spielberg are also mentioned. Are they required since the last part of the background does not mention them? It doesn't seem like they are needed since the last part of the background excludes them. Maybe we need a slight bit more clarification.
Approved by when? The suspend date?
Here is a question that is close to this one, but not a duplicate. It has resolved some issues that may arise with this question.

http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/How_much_will_Indiana_Jones_and_the_Kingdom_of_the_Crystal_Skull_gross_its_opening_weekend_3786/view
Athletes converge, but coverage overshadowed by "Earthquake."
The starting odds of a 25% chance for Cincinnati's winning were not realistic. Vegas has Cincinnati favored by 1 1/2. What was the justification for going opposite of Vegas?
What happens with this one if she doesn't win? Will it be voided?
Isn't this sort of a duplicate of :

http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_Clinton_and_Obama_be_the_Democratic_ticket_1243/view ?

Well, I'm wagering on this one anyway. Better odds then the other one.
Thanks raidersin09. That puts me on one side of the fence.
Based on the following:

http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/unfairly_voided_question#reply_502166

this question should be voided.
Discussion about this type of question being voided:

http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/unfairly_voided_question#reply_502166
Based upon the following:

http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/unfairly_voided_question#reply_502166

this question should be voided.
This index has been followed and settled on this website before :

http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Straits_Times_Index_close_up_on_Wednesday_Feb_27_2008_3213/view

Anyway, when did you decided to limit what news you follow without some sort of previous rule? At some point all of the indices you now follow must have been new. Show me where there is a list of acceptable indicies.
If Microsoft is still selling Windows XP after June 30, 2008, then this settles as "yes?" I just want to make sure since the background description has "Microsoft wants to end most new sales..." and the word "most" troubles me. Please clarify.
Compared to the last closing price.
After the withdrawal of the mistaken settlement made by donal, my $510 wager on Boston (with a $705.66 potential gain) has disappeared. What happened to it?
Charged by when? Suspend date?
If the honoree later tests positive for performance enhancing drugs, would that be classified as "higher?"
This was settled incorrectly (settlement was based upon box office estimates, not actual final numbers). As per the background section, if this movie makes $55,999,999 million or less it would be settled as $55 million or less. I have checked numerous sources and all updated links indicate less then $55,999,999. Links follow: http://www.the-numbers.com/ , http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/thisweek.php http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ and http://www.rottentomatoes.com/movie/box_office.php .

Please correct.
This month is May but there is a June suspend date?
By when, the suspend date? Or weeks / months from now when they issue a somewhat final figure?
I think the logo is supposed to be just as it is. 3-D would destroy the effect of letters cut from newsprint (i.e. this site is like cutting news from the paper, putting it on the website and creating something a little different - predicting news outcomes or interactive news). 3-D would destroy that symbolism.
Would someone official please demonstrate that hubdub is aware of this question? Why is this being ignored? Please either comment on the delay or settle this thing.
What is the delay with settling this thing? It should be settled as "no." owl 1 is a little confused, the background clearly states Exxon set a record in the 4th quarter. It then goes on to ask if they will set another record in the 1st quarter, which they didn't compared to the 4th quarter of 2007. The 1st quarter of 2007 has nothing to do with this. Get this thing settled, it has gone on long enough.

http://www.bizjournals.com/wichita/stories/2008/04/28/daily42.html
Microsoft offered $33 dollars per share before withdrawing the offer to buy yahoo.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aygvRgO2mWJA&refer=home
They offered $33 dollars per share before withdrawing the offer.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aygvRgO2mWJA&refer=home
This question is confusing. The link in the background leads to an article about an eruption causing 4000 to evacuate. Do they mean an another eruption besides this one causing 1000 to evacuate? Because this eruption already caused 4000.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7381652.stm
Accused by who? A sore loser of the race? A newspaper like l'Équipe? The Union Cycliste Internationale (UCI) or the race organizers Société du Tour de France? Any idiot with a blog (as long as the mainstream media repeats it, right?) ?

And what level of accusation is necessary for a "yes?" Do they have to be stripped of their title as Floyd Landis was, or will the non penalized accusations of Lance Armstrong count?
The incident in the settlement request happened on April 9th, before this question was written (read the article, not just the date it was updated). This should not have settled on this incident.
kruijs, the link you left leads to SCHNUFFEL-"Kuschel Song" / Full Song! [OFFICIAL MUSIC VIDEO].
I might as well quit researching questions fully. I'm wasting my time. I looked up the films. I made a decision based upon the information I found. And now my diligence is rewarded with a void. What about my lost time and the profits I would have reaped?

Instead I should just wager hastily from the gut (especially quickly if the number look good and I want to lock them down). Later I can look for excuses and argue to get it voided if I don't like results. NO, it shouldn't be that way. I have made mistakes and have lost wagers because of it. I accept my responsibility for that loss. I now read the question fully before wagering substainally. And like myself, people should accept responsibility for not putting in the time and learn from their mistakes. I have learned from my mistakes. I shouldn't be penalized and the careless rewarded. Read fully and research before you wager. That is the way this game works. If there is too much to read and research, don't wager on those questions.

No need to suspend it, I just knocked him out of the top 5.
This question suspends 2 days before the end of the week numbers. It would be harder to game with that many days worth of changes to control.
Even on a day like yesterday when I didn't do as well as I normally might, I still enjoy these questions. Please keep making them. Thanks
One of your options could have been "Any of the other 3 films." If any of the other 2 films win, your question will end up being voided.
In addition, I assume this includes tax (since this is the way it is on their website). Thanks again.
I'm assuming you are referring to "Diesel (On-Highway) - All Types" (the main category in the EIA reports ) and not some specialty grades such as "Low Sulfur (Above 15 ppm to 500 ppm)" or "Ultra Low Sulfur (15 ppm and Under)." I just want to make sure to avoid any disputes later on. Thanks.
Thanks. All clear now.
Tisha, thanks for the clarification. One last question. What if they give away the photos to a charity to sell themselves. I don't know the tax ramification of receiving $10 million profit then giving it to charity versus giving the charity an item and then they sell it. Sorry about all of these questions but I just don't want to get burned. Thanks again.
kruijs - My point about the numbers wasn't about the level of theft, it was about how hard it is moving 120,000 dollars in 10 days versus 10,000. In addition, the 1st place person is very visible in their dollar movement while someone at 10,000 isn't.

Anyway, looks like the question will stand. Any further discussion is probably about a moot point. I'm tired of commenting on this. Back to what this website is about, the news and predicting.
I didn't think we could do individual stock values on hubdub? Which would be a shame since you went into such depth with this question. But I think that is their rule.
And how will it be settled as a "no"? If the company no longer exist? Then again, someone could even revive the Psystar name at a later date and sell such a system. Needs a date for "no" to be a viable option.
I guess if it happens in April there will be a void.
It is possible no one will be fired or resign in 2008. There should be an option.
It is possible no one will be fired or resign. There should be an option.
Love the questions but hate my results today. What happened to the scoring? I took a bath. Hope someone hit the long shot. Thanks for the questions though. Tomorrow is another day.
Lesley - They may not report that it was not extinguished. That is non-news. The selection of none is worthless with the method you outlined. It should be that if it is not reported, then it is none.
Thanks Kelly, just wanted to make sure. I figured that was the answer, but it doesn't hurt to check.
Tisha, let me make sure I understand you correctly. If no money is received by the Jolie-Pitt family, then the selection "No money is received for baby photos" would win? The answers to this questions are all based upon the amount of money the Jolie-Pitt family receives?
If it enters the Atlantic or Caribbean it is an Atlantic or Caribbean hurricane.
The scale of congos question was 10,000 while this one is about 1,000,000. A million is less easy to swing. We will all start to see it coming.
Diesel dog - Why would Crudsy tell his friends? So they could compete with him? Unless we are going to be forming tribes and alliances, I don't see why we would want to help each other compete with us. Congos question was more open to gaming because of the scale. This one is much tougher. Much more long run.

Destry - If you have questions that close on those dates and you know you are right, one of two things will happen. You can bet more if you are so sure and profit from that question. Or the odds will have already risen and this profit will reflect in your predictions dollars for all to see. Either way it comes down to a whole bunch of other questions, not this one type of question. These are not cash cow questions. Profits are to be made, but you need more then just these type of questions to do so. I don't want us to start decreasing what we wager on, I want to increase it. More questions, not less.
Corrected comment.

I just want to confirm a few things so there can be no arguments later (everything seems obvious, but I'm just checking). Your background indicates we are down to a two game series. We are still wagering on all 3 games (even though 1 has been played)? Miami needs to win only 1 more to win the series. Florida State needs to win 2 to win the series. A tie will only happen if Florida State wins 1 and the other game is postponned. As you indicated, this is why you set the odds this way?

Thanks.
I just want to confirm a few things so there can be no arguments later (everything seems obvious, but I'm just checking). Your background indicates we are down to a two game series. We are still wagering on all 3 games (even though 1 has been played)? Miami needs to win only 1 to win the series. Florida State needs to win 2 to win the series. A tie will only happen if Florida State wins 1 and the other game is postponned. As you indicated, this is why you set the odds this way?

Thanks.
Even though I answered "yes" and this will cause me to lose, the Pope did not say the words "The United States of America" in his speech to the U.N. (based upon an alleged complete text I found on the internet). I unfortunately read the whole thing and could not find those words. This question clearly stated in the settlement that he had to say those words and he didn't. This should be settled as "no."

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2003533/posts
Gregmatta - If you think this is a lottery question, you know nothing about sports. If I had these kinds of odds with the lottery, I would be rich.
Gregmatta - If you think this is a lottery question, you know nothing about sports. If I had these kinds of odds with the lottery, I would be rich.
There is an option for that number, "13 or more." This should not have been voided.
I have considered what it would take to game questions about myself, and short of losing (which would defeat the purpose) I just don't see how I could easily do it. I could be confident and bet on myself, but I still don't know if I'm going to be right. If I knew I would be getting my initial bets right, I wouldn't need to care about these periphery bets. I would already be getting the main bets right. Why guild the lily?

Sure if I knew I was going to lose big on something, I could bet on someone else. But I don't think the number of these types of questions would be enough to sustain me.

And dieseldog, fingers didn't say these questions are open to gaming. They just said this type of question gets voided.
Are we going to define summer as beginning on 21st June, the day of the summer solstice and ending on the day of 20th September at midnight PST?
A user can only have an inside edge of one (since many users' selections are public, even they lose their advantage). But many people have more knowledge then most about specific subjects. That is the nature of news, geographical location and this website. We can not even the playing field. Wager on what you know, leave the rest alone. I enjoy most of the subjects. I don't want people who don't fully understand subjects I like to try to eliminate these subject because they don't like them. I'm observing and event and wagering on the trend / outcome. This question is no different. And just because you are not doing as well as everyone else ($77,393 at this moment), don't try to diminish others accomplishments (i.e. "Although I have no proof, I suspect that a number of hubdubbers have made a good portion of their H$ on questions like this."). Check out all of my open predictions. There is much more there then just hubdub questions. If you have no proof, investigate first before you start making accusations. If you don't find any evidence, then your ego massaging suspicions are probably just a defense mechanism.
For the "no money is received for baby photos" choice, received by who? Anyone? The press? A charity? The couple themselves?

I know this a minor quibble, but looking to avoid anyones hard feelings in advance. Thanks.
And I'm sure that real soon you will be an answer to a question. The amount of effort you put in to this site shows. It can't help but reflect back upon you. Thanks again.
No problem. In fact, I enjoyed it. The error adds a certain underdog like quality (as in - "I am so not important on this list, they couldn't even get my name right.") A perfect way to have the 1st mention of my name in the selections of a question. Thanks.

I see you just missed being on the list yourself.
When on the 17th? Before or after the games that day? "By" could mean either.
Sounds good, I was able to get $2000 on the favorable starting odds anyway. I preferred that it wasn't voided.

Thanks.
Question essentially same as :

http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_Hillary_Clinton_win_the_North_Carolina_Democratic_primary_on_May_6th__3687/view

In addition, starting odds should have been more like above mentioned question.
If there is no "by when date," no can never happen.
Go under by when? What type of company, brokerage houses only?
Shouldn't there be a "reprimanded by date?" Otherwise, no would never happen (unless he dies or retires...then again, I suppose they could still reprimand him in a way even then).
Isn't the 1st day of Autumn 9/22/08? You have 9/23 as your suspend date. Please clarify exactly what date the policy needs to change by. Thanks.
Where is the "who cares" option for this question?
Nigel, where did your "poop on this question" comment go? I saw it for a few seconds, then it was gone?
Kruijs, who are you to say what happens? Do you think you control things since you created the question? Well if you decided that if he apologized he would resign, then apologize and stay should not have been an option. It was though, and that is what is being debated. Do a better job of writing your questions if you want to avoid debate. There is one here though, and one of the editors of this site seems to disagree with you. And since they control the outcome, I will go along with what they think.
Please address how the following link effects this question. There is room for interpretation. Does this count as an apology or not?

http://www.autoblog.com/2008/04/01/max-mosley-apologizes-sorta-wont-resign/
I want to make sure that Champion Air (which announced before the question was created) is excluded. The editor's settlement edit came before comment 5 by the creator mentioned the airline exclusion.
I think the author of this question means Thursday?
Sounds good. You will now see a spike in the yes wager. Thanks.
What is the date that if they haven't changed, it is settled as a "No?" Is it the suspension date? Otherwise, this question may never settle. No can't happen without a date. They could always change it at some later date.
What happens if he pleads the 5th, does that count as testifying?
I put the suspend time but forgot the date. Sorry. It should be April 12 at 2100.
Correction, I entered a time but didn't enter a date. That is why there is no suspend date. My fault. It was my 1st question. Will not happen again.
Please add a suspend date of 4/9/08 at 1900 eastern time zone (U.S.). I entered one but it didn't take.
With this meticulous of a background detail, you will probably keep your "100% of previous questions settled successfully" ratings for a long time. I wish more people wrote them like this. Thanks.
Booted by when, the suspend date? Please define.
So when did a "...fisherman that has been out-smarted by one particular sea lion for some time..." count as "...the states of Washington and Oregon..."? The guys with the guns only count if they are hired by the states, correct? Independent disgruntled fisherman with guns don't count?
Please see my settlement request to reference this comment.

Crudsy is right. Their streak could continue indefinitely. They may never lose. Thus we may not ever be able to close this question out.

Could you be more pedantic? What are you trying to delay, loss of your wager? When the last possible team able to end the streak and settle this question lost (Atlanta), the doubt was resolved. None of the choices left can beat Houston on the date listed.

Having said this, I can wait. I, unlike others, can be magnanimous in victory. It is just a game and the ledger will eventually be balanced.
Unless Spitzer resigns by 3/13, the office of hubdub can't decide when Elliot Spitzer resigned.
What do you mean by "feature"? Does it mean a photo, full article, just their name mentioned anywhere on the front page....?
With the other question eliminated, this one is as fair as the imposible can be (i.e. 95% - 5%).
A "plain" crash is the kind without sprinkles.
Or is there some legitimate reason you have the odds all over the board as you do? I would love to hear them.
This question will not necessarily achieve its' objective. Some people will wager on what they think people will choose, not what they desire to exist themselves.

Isn't this website about news prediction, not about what sort of version of reality or news that we desire?
Not that it is very likely, but shouldn't there be a selection for zero in the top five?
What if they all make the NCAA mens' basketball tournament?
What if it happens between 3/22 & 3/27? There is no selection for that.
How do you run for Vice President? Doesn't the person who is running for President decide who to accept as their running mate? I guess practically everyone of the right age / birth country... is potentially running for Vice President.
Any movie he would announce he making in 2008 would probably already be announced. He has already announced he will direct 3 movies in 2009 http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000229/
And does he just have to announce he is doing it in 2008 or actually do any of it in 2008?
By "making" do you mean only directing? Or does producing count? And what activity of "making" do you mean? Filming only? What about pre-production or post production?
What about if they allow it to remain the same?
What occurs if it happens on the 11th day?
"This market will be voided if Iran's leader does not visit Iran on the 2nd." You must mean "...does not visit.." Iraq? Correct?