gingerboi
Net worth: H$131,558
Predictions made: 1643
Member since Tue 29th Jan
Comments
gingerboi left these comments.
Good question Skipper! Keep your eye on the ball, and don't let the bastards drag you down. Just the facts, ma'am.
yes, I agree. Time to take this market around the corner away from the kids and wife and put it quietly out of its misery with a quick 'enter' to the head.
Republican Presidential System - one leader is elected every four years by direct mandate of voters transmitted through indirect mandate of electoral college vote of 583 representatives. Westminster System: Go to bed Prime Minister, wake up to a leadership challenge from your cabinet, and your toast at breakfast.
In relation to this prediction market, if the majority of users understood the tenuous thread under which Gordon Baby holds power, the market would be around 60%, not 83%. Brown is PM today, but may not be within 30 days, and if it happens it'll take a total of 48 hours or thereabouts. Not four years.
None of this fascist, dictatorship crap for us Westminster lovers. Don't get me started either on the highly democratic "First Past the Post" electoral system, resulting in 51% of Americans not electing George W Bush? I guess it so easy to understand isn't it, it must be good?
In relation to this prediction market, if the majority of users understood the tenuous thread under which Gordon Baby holds power, the market would be around 60%, not 83%. Brown is PM today, but may not be within 30 days, and if it happens it'll take a total of 48 hours or thereabouts. Not four years.
None of this fascist, dictatorship crap for us Westminster lovers. Don't get me started either on the highly democratic "First Past the Post" electoral system, resulting in 51% of Americans not electing George W Bush? I guess it so easy to understand isn't it, it must be good?
Well I went there everytime with my dad, Dragon, so I can't really say... what could happen if there were, for example, young 15 year old boys and girls naked on a beautiful white sandy beach with crashing wave? surely, nothing more than backgammon? It's divided into "clothed" and "unclothed". Perhaps if they handed out packs of cards at the border (there is a border) that would avert the threat of .. you know.. of course though that would rule out strip poker, a fun game at any moment of the day. .
Charles my man, look... there are some mysteries in life you just don't question. Like the other day, I scored a drunk 26 year old girl who was actually probably 22, but upped her age a few years. Am I sitting around debating why with my mates ? Yes I am. But anyway, don't worry about it man, it's a mystery. You should be spending less time fussing over correct predictions and less time debating the great mysteries of the overworked and probably drunk admin people, and more time scoring super hotties like I did the other night. You know? What are your thoughts on this? Sorry, I can't help but tell everybody about it. She was steaming hot! Like an arse you wouldn't believe. You could crack walnuts on it.
Americans just don't get the Westminster system do they, eh Krujis? This must be resolved with a call to arms, dear sir. Opinion Polls at 40 paces! Gentlemen, draw your ballots! AIM... FIRE!
I visited my first nudist beach at Maslins in SA (no, not there) when I was 11. My nudist father often told me to stop pointing, but there was so much to point out. Also, home of the world's first Nude Olympics.
http://www.samemory.sa.gov.au/site/page.cfm?u=259 A beautiful beach of lovely white sand. PENIS! there, I said it.
http://www.samemory.sa.gov.au/site/page.cfm?u=259 A beautiful beach of lovely white sand. PENIS! there, I said it.
1.I'm a bit disappointed RyanJ in the pics (not for the feint hearted) .. I mean I've seen raunchier stuff at my family days (they were just cousins). 2. Dragonfanagals: Well, most girls now auction off their virginity after a few beers or perhaps a joint. I'm sure back in 1942, when you were a virgin, they didn't. Probably auctioned it for a pair of stockings and a couple of eggs.
BTW this question was made before before category editors and super users decided to take over the Hubdub world. I do not have an issue though with you Mr Bear, a fair and reasonable mammal if I ever bumped into one in a camp ground or a forest while having a leak. However, I bet you $10,000 "Andrew" won't be contributing another question because of ridiculous, piss poor obsessing over the semantics of questions.
What? The meaning when it was first written was merger or takeover. My bets were made 15 weeks ago based on the idea 1. it'd be finished before I was wearing a colostomy bag 2. Merger meant "merger" which is the wording of the question, and would be vehmently argued for and against by both parties merger and aquisition over a ... dare I say it.. yes I will.. a BUD. My point is that whatever the wording, I took it to mean a merger, and that was I wagered $5000 on it. So please keep it open, or whatever, but the two companies are clearly MERGING into one. Let's not argue about that. Shall we look up merge and do a pretentious cut and paste? I have no argument with you Mr Bear, just that merger is merger and that is the word I took to mean (whatever the crap wording) would be the outcome of the market.
I disagree. Gaming? are you kidding? I can't stand it anymore, I wasn't going to say anything but you know what? fuck it! I'm going to break my 'no sarcastic comments on hubdub' vow I took a few months ago. Yes, Jenni, I fell off the wagon and I luv those dogs BTW! Luv the little buggers! With a bit of garlic and bok choy.. but anyway...I love your questions too by the way, and I think you know that. Please keep contributing. BUT LOOK.. What am I going to do Jenni? Set up a movie review site, submit it to the world's most famous film critic site, expected it to be accepted, and then give a splattered tomato/fresh tomato so my $100 on "Burn After Reading" wins me a whopping $200 or some ridiculously small amount of imaginary money because my splattered tomato/fresh tomato will statistically affect the outcome of usually 100 to 200 movie reviews? Can I have some of what you are on? C'mon Jenn, help me out! THIS IS JUST SIMPLY IMAGINARY BOLLOCKS. Get off the poodle pipe Jen!
http://www.examiner.ie/breaking/ireland/mhqlojkfidsn/
Mark Cleland, 24, sliced through the global competition to win the international rock, paper, scissors games.
Mark Cleland, 24, sliced through the global competition to win the international rock, paper, scissors games.
Thanks raresaturn.. my parents lived there for three years during the Blue Streak program in the 50s. My father was the Principal at the local primary school. I come from South Australia.
C'mon Pando, Nelson's as attractive as a forgotten Indonesian prawn on a broken Weber.. he's toast. Be a man..or indeed perhaps a women... and take a side! Chuck in your last 5000 and join the club! I know pitchedoutsidetheleg won't back down from a challenge. I raise you Mr LBW another 5 if your up for it.
The question was badly worded. With regards the wording of this question, see comments 1 to 3 at to what constitutes a positive outcome to this market. Therefore the outcome should be 'yes'.
I had no idea of this kind of extremism... fascinating idea to barter.. apparently swedes are notorious for running late night red lights. Unless of course there's a big f$%&king camera watching them.
Bear bingle batters biyclist
Grizzly grabs gritty grayhair (if the victim is old)
Big Ben Beans Bicyclist
Bingo! bear brains bicyclist
You've covered it valornhonor!
You worked on that man, and don't say you didnt ;)
Grizzly grabs gritty grayhair (if the victim is old)
Big Ben Beans Bicyclist
Bingo! bear brains bicyclist
You've covered it valornhonor!
You worked on that man, and don't say you didnt ;)
too extreme. but I'll put 50 on it. A friend of mine is predicting $300 a barrel if Iran is invaded and there's a global collapse. He also recommends spider silk for flying kites. I'm not sure what to think.
What a great finish! neck and neck... will Obama's "we*re off to a spa for a bonk and D&M" group hug with Hillbilly keep the numbers above 44? I guess so..
HAH! good one. yep sure. Ha ha! I'm dying over here. I mean, I'm on the floor. Space
isn't that the place Americans and Russians hang out? I guess they could send a sheep
into space. Or a yobbo. "what effect does zero gravity have on an opened can of beer?"
isn't that the place Americans and Russians hang out? I guess they could send a sheep
into space. Or a yobbo. "what effect does zero gravity have on an opened can of beer?"
what an awesome piss take! A NYer in NYC once said to me that it'd be great if they simply cut NYC and SF from America and let them float off into the liberal wilderness. Perhaps true...
Great post, Jamal. Interesting idea, but practical in hypocritical America? This guy is 57.. he'll be given the choice to recuse thereby preserving his career, perhaps pension etc. It would be a nasty and unwarranted blow to shut him down I'd imagine. A friend's father of mine in Australia was a supreme court high judge in the Westminster system (top of the pile) and he used to roll some brilliant Fat Dogs. And after a hard day's judging, who wouldn't savour a big fat juicy joint?
Surely those idiots will walk away. I can't see the Grrrls giving up, and why should they? The logo is an affectionate Seattle backhanded slap, and all publicity must surely be good publicity for what is the largest corporation on earth to help mainstream a stimulant drug.
Providing all ten scantily clad women are their wives, I suppose. And Ironman 288 - I would definitely go to a pool where there no bikinis. Or any other clothes.
well.. the new version supposedly burns less memory, but I've got seven tabs open and it's using up 153,568K of memory. I bet that's Hubdub using all the memory for their silly "pundit watch" thing. But Shojun, good to see that's their still some blindly loyal Mozilla fans out there. Never let reality get in the way of the dream eh? Apparently Walt Disney is still on ice, waiting for a decent version of Mozilla. Hold on! It's down to 146K. I take it all back. Now it's at 150K.. is nothing dependable?
unclear. wouldn't...umm... Al Jazeera be the major news source? I accept it may be reported on MNM in the west... I'll have 50 on a rebuke. Great question, no need to void it.
A couple of decent IEDs and this question is toast. You can put a mini on this question, and it's still a hot question without any big bad dharmas coming down on you Bayoubear because you put it up. Whatever makes you feel better BB, it's still a great prediction market, and kudos for you to having the balls to put it up. Yep, let's hope any punting on 36 or more is a big failure.
Dude! What's up man? I love having a pork after a beer. Sometimes a taxi driver is involved, I admit, but only on the way home with the girl.
Sorry, I mean "super users" who have magical powers and the ability to transform into animals. Like flies and bandicoots, when they want to look at stuff, like an Iranian nuclear power plant document on Bush's desk and stuff like that and report back to us.Or maybe Barney the dog, who is a totally mathematical dude (and totally desirable: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LHyJH1yGKZY I say form a League of Super Power Users (LoF-POO) to fix these kind of petty disputes about super powers in the future. And they can report to the Super League of Hubdub (SLOH SETTLEMENT) which is a kind of god-like body based in Edinburgh and staffed by unemployed people who can't get a normal job outside of running a website.
I can only reference the Lion King:
Mufasa: Everything you see exists together in a delicate balance. As king, you need to understand that balance and respect all the creatures, from the crawling ant to the leaping antelope.
Young Simba: But, Dad, don't we eat the antelope?
Mufasa: Yes, Simba, but let me explain. When we die, our bodies become the grass, and the antelope eat the grass. And so we are all connnected in the great Circle of Life.
I hope this clears everything up concerning power users.
Mufasa: Everything you see exists together in a delicate balance. As king, you need to understand that balance and respect all the creatures, from the crawling ant to the leaping antelope.
Young Simba: But, Dad, don't we eat the antelope?
Mufasa: Yes, Simba, but let me explain. When we die, our bodies become the grass, and the antelope eat the grass. And so we are all connnected in the great Circle of Life.
I hope this clears everything up concerning power users.
Dude, I explained it all to Sheryl a couple of times, and she is totally offended (but she'd like to get back to you on that). C'mon Barbie!
so when will the market be decided? This is the issue here, not the outcome, and it looks like no outcome for the foreseeable future. SO>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> what to do>>??? any input appreciated. Personally, I had a weird relationship with Barbie resulting later in life in a divorce, so I won't go into it here. Well, a little. I mean, you know, we talked about... well... cosmetics over dinner,.. and it got kinda hard... you know what I mean...and then shoes.. or Ashley Simpson...and I couldn't handle it anymore, despite the fact she was awesome at .. Anyway, it likes my ex-wife versus my present GF. So it's DEEPLY PERSONAL. That's all I can say.... And I want Barbie to win! (sorry Sheryl, it's true baby but YOUR MY HOONEE these days) I love you hoonee!
I believe tit makes a tastier soup Owl1 - my local spanish does an excellent Andalusian gozanga gazpachio, and an excellent, Italian-influenced funbag fettucini. What are your thoughts on this? I find penis soup a little chewy.
hey mork, good work, just found it myself in another article; http://www.smh.com.au/news/news/airport-gets-its-drugs-back-after-bungle/2008/05/29/1211654173619.html
Did anybody predict YES? I forgot to bet on my own question!
Did anybody predict YES? I forgot to bet on my own question!
looks like it'll be a "NO"...
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080527.wspacejump27/BNStory/National/home?cid=al_gam_mostview
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080527.wspacejump27/BNStory/National/home?cid=al_gam_mostview
@DD - yea, BBC carried it too, this is the reason Japanese law enforcement exists - to give the rest of the world a laugh. The reason for the odds are this: There were 283 people on the flight. Japanese police will go door-to-door and ask every passenger to see their luggage, and if it's black, ask if they have the dope. They may in fact get it back - or of course someone just throw it out, smoke it all, or even sell it. Let's see - I'll track this myself. As for natto @owl1, have a look here: http://thenattoproject.com/
http://www.goal.com/en-india/Articolo.aspx?ContenutoId=710809 an interview with a Bagan fan.. BTW... I think we don't have to look farther than this question for an example of Satyaki's milder gaming! What an outrageous question... I was the guy who put $2000 on at the beginning, after asking for clarification. It's called a friendly because it's just a big emerging-market soccer marketing wank, a holiday for freshly-minted teen Bayern sign-ons and .. Oliver Khan? Years ago "DJ" Boy George used to get paid 10,000 pounds for a two hour New Years set in a London club and then he'd HELICOPTER to his next gig for another quick tenner. 50% of life is being there.
I misunderstood the question. No-one will get arrested over a PDA on a day out with their kids. Even Blackberry tosspots have their limits.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mianus_(neighborhood)
The town was brought to fame when Jackass star Johnny Knoxville and his crew came to the town and made fun of the name, pronouncing it like "my anus." They went around the town asking residents questions like, "How do you get to Mianus?", "Is Mianus a big place?" "Look, there is a big, red truck in Mianus." "What's the best meat in Mianus?", "You ever catch any brown trout in Mianus?" Later, they visited a restaurant and ordered hotdogs with Chris Pontius asking Bam if he wants a bite of his hotdog, Bam takes a bite and says, "I've always wanted Chris's wiener in Mianus", then looks through a telescope trying to point it towards Uranus from Mianus and so on. He finished the segment by going to the Mianus Sewage Filter Plant. At the end of the segment, Pontius says, "We've milked Mianus dry".[citation needed]
The town was brought to fame when Jackass star Johnny Knoxville and his crew came to the town and made fun of the name, pronouncing it like "my anus." They went around the town asking residents questions like, "How do you get to Mianus?", "Is Mianus a big place?" "Look, there is a big, red truck in Mianus." "What's the best meat in Mianus?", "You ever catch any brown trout in Mianus?" Later, they visited a restaurant and ordered hotdogs with Chris Pontius asking Bam if he wants a bite of his hotdog, Bam takes a bite and says, "I've always wanted Chris's wiener in Mianus", then looks through a telescope trying to point it towards Uranus from Mianus and so on. He finished the segment by going to the Mianus Sewage Filter Plant. At the end of the segment, Pontius says, "We've milked Mianus dry".[citation needed]
of course they won't identify him (deliberatly).. quite likely someone would track him down, and maybe make him grow a beard.
Man, seriously, that Coriander Chilli Kangaroo recipe is so good... you should fire up a barbie, and throw a few recently culled Canberra kanga steaks on and I think you'll be pleasantly surprised. Better than prawns, but that's a personal call.
absolutely, and when has the BBC been wrong? Well. about a thousand times.. STILL SWEDEN WILL WIN I'd go for a spread on Sweden. .GO SWEDEN YAH!
F%^k, F%^k, F%^k, F%^k,F%^k,F%^k,F%^k,F%^k,F%^k,F%^k,F%^k,
just a day more and the whole world would've been better off. Bloody oil. That's it, I'm taking a bus.
just a day more and the whole world would've been better off. Bloody oil. That's it, I'm taking a bus.
or, alternatively, "let" american royalty down although there is a good argument for "leave" as well, in terms of 'leaving' the fold... or some such thing... and I best just leave right now. Goodbye.
I just checked and your right.. I have two thousand on him 'walking' out the door... there is no way a Kennedy will leave in a wheelchair. I hope I'm correct.
interesting way to phrase a death question, a kind of tastefully worded double-negative. How close are we to the national bone? Indeed, how long will it take before he drives off the Great Bridge? A nostalgic, final victory lap is surely in the CAT scan.
I'd be happy with Michael's suggestion as necessary conditions for a pirate seizure. Could someone give me my $H300 back please? I'm sure they're wearing rolexs, having talking Blueberries and dark sunnies instead of eye patches, so we can't settle this question.
YES!
Live rates at 2008.05.14 04:53:40 UTC
33,600,000.00 USD = 17,284,882.63 GBP
1 USD = 0.514431 GBP
Live rates at 2008.05.14 04:53:40 UTC
33,600,000.00 USD = 17,284,882.63 GBP
1 USD = 0.514431 GBP
I'll be eating soy sauce and rice for weeks if the arrogant, egostical wanker doesn't go... look at it this way:
Substitue UN for CHERYL and SARKOZY for Raelene:
Cheryl: "Oh C'mon Raelene come to the olimpics will ya?
Raelene: "NOT.. not going there 'cause he's reckon's the dally lama in Regret is not cool, and everyone knows the lama is SOOOOO cool, and orange is SOOOOO in this season, and Wing Chun, or whatever the Premier's name is, is so NOT cool. Anyway, my friends will give me so much shit because, ya know, I support poor people and everfing. I knew a poor person like, years ago, and I gave them $10 and stuff like that? okay? I'm friends with the pool cleaner AND his hunky brother, okay. I'm a soshuralist okay Cheral? if you don't understand that, then go to wackypedia and look it up!
Cheryl: But EVERYBODY is going and they're be lots of pastaparapzzi there.. and EVERYBODY will see you and your HUNK of SPUNK! Lots of digicams Raelene! I know you love your photo taken - ADMIT IT!!
Raelene: TROOOO!!! so true.. maybe I should go... if only I can get Wing Chun to say he cares... likes, who cares if he cares for those people in Regret... it's not mio problemo senorito!
Cheryl: Oh, your so clever with foreign languages!
Raelene: Yes. Anyway, Okay, I'll go, only if Wing Chun wears an orange tie in support of the Dally Lama.
Substitue UN for CHERYL and SARKOZY for Raelene:
Cheryl: "Oh C'mon Raelene come to the olimpics will ya?
Raelene: "NOT.. not going there 'cause he's reckon's the dally lama in Regret is not cool, and everyone knows the lama is SOOOOO cool, and orange is SOOOOO in this season, and Wing Chun, or whatever the Premier's name is, is so NOT cool. Anyway, my friends will give me so much shit because, ya know, I support poor people and everfing. I knew a poor person like, years ago, and I gave them $10 and stuff like that? okay? I'm friends with the pool cleaner AND his hunky brother, okay. I'm a soshuralist okay Cheral? if you don't understand that, then go to wackypedia and look it up!
Cheryl: But EVERYBODY is going and they're be lots of pastaparapzzi there.. and EVERYBODY will see you and your HUNK of SPUNK! Lots of digicams Raelene! I know you love your photo taken - ADMIT IT!!
Raelene: TROOOO!!! so true.. maybe I should go... if only I can get Wing Chun to say he cares... likes, who cares if he cares for those people in Regret... it's not mio problemo senorito!
Cheryl: Oh, your so clever with foreign languages!
Raelene: Yes. Anyway, Okay, I'll go, only if Wing Chun wears an orange tie in support of the Dally Lama.
People say Cheney is the power behind Bush, but I think its worth pawsing to consider that it maybe Barney, who has his own webpage. http://www.whitehouse.gov/barney/index.html Check the questions - he cleverly fielded "What is 7X7", so there is evidence that's he smarter than Bush, who is known to read children's books upside down.
Thanks mrperfekt for tracking down a result here.. I was digging around online and couldn't get a conclusive article.
I should add, China used to give them out like candy (You like us? Here's a couple of pandas) but not anymore.
Well any fake bull testicles hanging off vehicles in Florida questions are mine, and I'm talking to you too Destry!
I'll e-mail chief bottle washer Ryan. Or somebody with some kind of .... POWER... and I think Ryan manages the petty cash at the hubdub offices. Or maybe the petty comments. Just kidding Ryan!
excellent question! I've got $200 on Hillary, she'll stick around like a bad wine stain on a panda rug.
totally dude! I love a good death question - got a hundred on the Pope! All that stressful berating of those purple hat oldies for doing FA .. man, I'd be having a chat with the bearded white dude and going "dude, fluff up the cushions, unwrap the guacomole and Doritos, bring on the 72 virgins, and SMS Buddha "THE DUDE ABIDES" because he is in town for fun!" Heaven must be like a permanent trip to Fiji for the Pope after his trip to the US...
this seems to be a comprehensive source for final results:
http://www.politics.co.uk/news/london-election-2008-results-$1220880.htm
http://www.politics.co.uk/news/london-election-2008-results-$1220880.htm
The only possible consolation for Mr Brown was that Labour incumbent Ken Livingstone seemed to have fared better in the London mayor race than the polls had suggested. The main parties refused to call London after indications of a high turnout in the inner boroughs, which were expected to be more favourable to Mr Livingstone than his Tory rival, Boris Johnson.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23633677-601,00.html
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23633677-601,00.html
If Obama lost, and the exit polls as reported by the media were different from the actual results, then would the MAINSTREAM MEDIA for example the NYT (rather than say a bunch of screaming, nancy-boy hankerchief-waving, Prius driving, whitey Hubdub uni lecturer software programming Americans) DECIDE WITHOUT ANY PATHETIC, SUBJECTIVE AND UNIFORMED PREACHING FROM a bunch of screaming, nancy-boy hankerchief-waving, Prius driving, whitey Hubdub uni lecturer software programming Americans that the outcome was a result of racism... WOULDN"T THAT BE AN AWESOME QUESTION TO HAVE ON HUBDUB. But then again, who would be silly enough to put forward that kind of interesting, probing question without a bunch of screaming, nancy-boy hankerchief-waving, Prius driving, whitey Hubdub uni lecturer software programming Americans smashing it down because they all lost sight of the fact that outcomes on Hubdub are decided by the MAINSTREAM MEDIA? Right, I'm officially over it. And yes, a goldfish who I think remembered me died today.
here is an image http://www.arts.ualberta.ca/~pex/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/crocs_cayman_choc.jpg
On little bitty feet, the percentage of rubber below the holes that line the front section, which is exposed to the vicious,nashing fangs of the evil escalator, are presumably much lower/less than would be on an adult shoe. Combine that with the ability of children under the age of 12 to do nothing more than complain, eat and shit, in various combinations therein, then what you have is a monstrous toe nail/toe eating machine, waiting to chew upon the exposed flesh of uncoordinated, non sporty Croc wearing children.
On little bitty feet, the percentage of rubber below the holes that line the front section, which is exposed to the vicious,nashing fangs of the evil escalator, are presumably much lower/less than would be on an adult shoe. Combine that with the ability of children under the age of 12 to do nothing more than complain, eat and shit, in various combinations therein, then what you have is a monstrous toe nail/toe eating machine, waiting to chew upon the exposed flesh of uncoordinated, non sporty Croc wearing children.
yes Tisha that's reasonable - interesting too - because Richard may well keep his job!
http://travel.timesonline.co.uk/tol/life_and_style/travel/business/article3797980.ece
If he did, I assume this would be the first time an assumed meth user is an on-air, high profile news presenter on the world's most famous news channel. Go Dick! I would've added "keep his job" to the options, but assumed it was so unlikely it was not even worth mentioning. Brilliant! I hope he keeps his job.
http://travel.timesonline.co.uk/tol/life_and_style/travel/business/article3797980.ece
If he did, I assume this would be the first time an assumed meth user is an on-air, high profile news presenter on the world's most famous news channel. Go Dick! I would've added "keep his job" to the options, but assumed it was so unlikely it was not even worth mentioning. Brilliant! I hope he keeps his job.
dude, this site might not even exist by the time this question is realized. Never tie up cash in a question beyond three months eh? The golden rules? Anyway man, I can't seem them doing dick for two years.
good point.. I should've made the time shorter... better wording would have been "will ANNOUNCE a redesign of their famous shoes" NOT produce and launch new models. So, "say" rather than "do".
Jenni, I had a closer look at the avatar and there are indeed TWO dogs. Apologies to you, and the woofers. With regards present debate, I suggest that a settlement could be reached by choosing one media source. We can't settle it, can we? So why don't we let 'mainstream media' settle it - perhaps just what the NYT says, which is one of the two sources prompting this question? They'll certainly give comment one way or the other, I would guess. Any thoughts on this?
great question! well done, if not without a few 'what ifs'. I disagree with Jenni and her two headed dog from Hades that a difference in polls is needed to shore up the question - probably a consensus will emerge from exit polling that will be reported by mainstream media, and for us to tighten settlement concerning outcome contravenes the idea that it's settled by mainstream media, which is the ground rule.
@JJT, @destry, I stand corrected! I saw romance where there was none - and it's not the first time! I'm sure JJT you'll slay us all if your source is correct - Intrade has Obama at a whopping 80.7% to be the next presidential nominee.. but I'll have a punt for sure on Obama dropping out. Let's see where the cards fall.
"two heartbeats, means two, not one." I think your comment a week ago re your Washington source (or should I say 'sauce'?) jersjusttrolling is very romantic, and must be code describing the domestic situation between you and destry. You people sharing an apartment and IMing each when dinner is ready? Is this a huge gaming gambit?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/03/28/2201727.htm?section=australia
They're dithering. A good sign for those Coriander Chilli steaks.
They're dithering. A good sign for those Coriander Chilli steaks.
check out the spread on this summary of surveys concerning Pennsylvania:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html
Who the hell is PPP? I thought it was a glitch in my teen years. Little Miss Sixty (15th -16th) at +26%??
Rasmussen has Miss Sixty at 10% (on the 24th) They seem to be contracted by FOX TV, and we all know what tthat means: this is a Missouri poll BTW, but the fact FOX use them is my point..
http://www.myfoxkc.com/myfox/pages/News/Detail?contentId=6139950&version=1&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=TSTY&pageId=3.11.1
If people only ever read the newspapers that agree with their opinions, then we can assume that FOX like Rasmussen for their conservative bias. Still, what does this mean in relation to the Democrats? I guess it means Hillary must be around mid teens, which is surprising perhaps. Rasmussen had Miss Sixty on 13% on March 13th, so if we equal levels of bias for ARG on March 7-8th, who were 11%, then adjust for smoking, obesity, marital status and lack of exercise then probably ARG will maybe come out lower than 10% for Hillary, which pretty much screws me. Of course, this is all wild conjecture. Can you extrapolate polls and guesstimate them according to equal levels of bias? I don't know. What I am doing here? I need a bath and two weeks diving in Mozambique.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html
Who the hell is PPP? I thought it was a glitch in my teen years. Little Miss Sixty (15th -16th) at +26%??
Rasmussen has Miss Sixty at 10% (on the 24th) They seem to be contracted by FOX TV, and we all know what tthat means: this is a Missouri poll BTW, but the fact FOX use them is my point..
http://www.myfoxkc.com/myfox/pages/News/Detail?contentId=6139950&version=1&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=TSTY&pageId=3.11.1
If people only ever read the newspapers that agree with their opinions, then we can assume that FOX like Rasmussen for their conservative bias. Still, what does this mean in relation to the Democrats? I guess it means Hillary must be around mid teens, which is surprising perhaps. Rasmussen had Miss Sixty on 13% on March 13th, so if we equal levels of bias for ARG on March 7-8th, who were 11%, then adjust for smoking, obesity, marital status and lack of exercise then probably ARG will maybe come out lower than 10% for Hillary, which pretty much screws me. Of course, this is all wild conjecture. Can you extrapolate polls and guesstimate them according to equal levels of bias? I don't know. What I am doing here? I need a bath and two weeks diving in Mozambique.
Coriander Chilli Kangaroo
Ingredients:
* 2 x 200-220g Kangaroo Loin Fillets
* 2 medium eggplants, cut each into 6 slices
* Coriander Chilli Marinade
* Mix together in a bowl
* 2 tablespoons olive oil
* 2 tablespoons sweet chilli sauce
* 1 tablespoon chopped coriander leaves
* 1/2 teaspoon cracked black pepper
Method:
* put Kangaroo fillets in the marinade and set aside for 15-30 minutes
* Heat a heavy based flat grill plain or ribbed pan until hot. Cook fillets over high heat for 1-2 minutes on each side or until meat springs back when squeezed with tongs. If coking to medium reduce heat, cook further until kangaroo feels firmer
* Remove onto a plate and stand for 5 minutes to rest
* Meanwhile, brush eggplant with olive oil, add to pan, fry on both sides until golden
* Cut Kangaroo fillet diagonally into 4 slices. Put 3 slices cooked egg plant, onto each plate, top with 2 slices Kangaroo fillet and garnish with extra lemon wedges, mint or coriander. Serve with Tabhouli.
Ingredients:
* 2 x 200-220g Kangaroo Loin Fillets
* 2 medium eggplants, cut each into 6 slices
* Coriander Chilli Marinade
* Mix together in a bowl
* 2 tablespoons olive oil
* 2 tablespoons sweet chilli sauce
* 1 tablespoon chopped coriander leaves
* 1/2 teaspoon cracked black pepper
Method:
* put Kangaroo fillets in the marinade and set aside for 15-30 minutes
* Heat a heavy based flat grill plain or ribbed pan until hot. Cook fillets over high heat for 1-2 minutes on each side or until meat springs back when squeezed with tongs. If coking to medium reduce heat, cook further until kangaroo feels firmer
* Remove onto a plate and stand for 5 minutes to rest
* Meanwhile, brush eggplant with olive oil, add to pan, fry on both sides until golden
* Cut Kangaroo fillet diagonally into 4 slices. Put 3 slices cooked egg plant, onto each plate, top with 2 slices Kangaroo fillet and garnish with extra lemon wedges, mint or coriander. Serve with Tabhouli.
yes, it's incredibly important which death toll we go with here, like to the tune of a factor of about 5 to 10. Can we sort this out? I'd like to make a bet.
Well I'm planning to release another video game on the 29th called "Smack for Jack" with a short plot line involving locating Jack, kidnapping him and making him smoke up a storm until he sounds like Flavor Fla on a good day. That should keep him away from GTA IV and its evil toxins to allow us NO people to clean up.
doesn't the market behave like an eight year old? It needs ice cream with chocolate frosting and ONLY that will do! As we talk, that previous model student and student council President Bears Stearn (top of the volleyball team too) is in the lower playground rec toilet smoking crack, cutting his hair off and putting it into little envelopes for relatives with instructions about which rap music to play at his funeral. Maybe an overly colourful analogy but I'm glad I don't work at the Bear where apparently company ownership was particularly high (ie Enron). My point is the market needs a clip over the ear and a ruler across the bum, which I assume those confused men in the high tower will do shortly after visiting a prostitute. Markets have nothing to do with rational Keynesian economics in this situation.
I assume this is suspending on light crude futures, not open outcry on the NYME. Is this correct? The close of buiness on the NYME is 5.15 if you go by the close of business.
yea ryan, but so does ciggies, oprah winfrey and George W Bush trying to explain foreign policy. Why suspend this question because GTA causes cancer? Can't we put a warning and a horrible photo on the question instead and proceed?
needs to define if the death count will be 'reported' by either the Chinese authorities or Tibetan exiles. Either figure will be highly variable.
well said neverlupus! exactly - the overriding motivation of hubdubbers will be to anticipate the outcome of the question and make a little pile in the process - thereby completely subverting what supposedly was (within the question) a question about the morality of what we should or shouldn't gamble on. The question could easily just have been "How many pink elephants will Takako Doi see after working 9 days straight in the orbiting space shuttle" and it won't be what we really think - we're just gambling on what other people think will be the outcome to maximise our result regardless of the content of the question. SO... that is why you boys in Edinburgh should stop giggling, put down the pints of Guinness, step in and stop a fundamental tenant (free speech) of this gig from being ripped out from under us by somebody who's subverting and redirecting the market forces of this site to satisfy their own moral agenda. Randburg, I understand where your coming from but a live question is not an appropriate forum to express concerns about whether death pools are right or wrong, because the forces of the 'prediction market' will prevail, not the actual beliefs of the people participating in the market. Possibly you know this.
An alternative forum for hubdub should be set up for debates on hubdub content, especially as hubdub itself is barely out of the premmie ward incubator.
Anyway, if nobody gets off the disco bikkies in Edinburgh long enough to pay any attention to this, the market will prevail!
An alternative forum for hubdub should be set up for debates on hubdub content, especially as hubdub itself is barely out of the premmie ward incubator.
Anyway, if nobody gets off the disco bikkies in Edinburgh long enough to pay any attention to this, the market will prevail!
but he isn't officially resigned until Monday. right? Doesn't matter if he's announced it. He can still make legally binding decisions until Monday. So he is still officially in power, and he hasn't resigned. He chose to not say "I will resign on Monday", he said "I am resigning, effective Monday" or something like that. The point is - it's Monday! It's not now.
"When will New York Governor Elliot Spitzer resign" equals Monday. It's not "when he announces he will resign". that's it. it's Monday.
In Australia, we have a saying “He’d bet on the outcome of two flies crawling up a wall”. (ie which fly flies away first?). That’s gambling!!! Like many other posters below, I also ask who are we to be moral abritrators on what is and isn’t news? Journalists say ‘bad news is good news’ and that’s why people we all know, those cretins running around being constantly upbeat, never watch the news. News is nearly always negative. Monty Python had a wicked skit once – a newsreader announcing “Today, a milk float took a corner very quickly and almost tipped over and crushed a kitten. But it didn’t” .These are not side issues to the question of death pools, but fundamental to what news is and to what outcomes we are allowed to gamble on this site, which are almost invariably negative. (will spitzer be impeached by XXXX for example). Death, indirectly, is an enormous part of what we gamble about. So shall we remove "Will the US invade Iran by November 2008" - if they do, a lot of people will die!
Like any other ethical quandary, the choice faced by individuals is to choose whether to be a part of something morally reprehensible or not. It may exist, it doesn’t mean we need be a part of it, but the fact that it exists upholds our right to hold any opinion on anything, regardless of whom it may offend.
Let this site be a bastion of free speech and radical conjecture, not another ugly bulkhead of senseless American collective moralism, an institution designed to protect me from – what???? Other people’s offended sensibilities? UP YOURS MATE. You bastards in your shed in Edinburgh, pull your fingers out and SHUT DOWN THIS STUPID, SELF DEFEATING prediction and keep this breath of fresh air, fresh!
Like any other ethical quandary, the choice faced by individuals is to choose whether to be a part of something morally reprehensible or not. It may exist, it doesn’t mean we need be a part of it, but the fact that it exists upholds our right to hold any opinion on anything, regardless of whom it may offend.
Let this site be a bastion of free speech and radical conjecture, not another ugly bulkhead of senseless American collective moralism, an institution designed to protect me from – what???? Other people’s offended sensibilities? UP YOURS MATE. You bastards in your shed in Edinburgh, pull your fingers out and SHUT DOWN THIS STUPID, SELF DEFEATING prediction and keep this breath of fresh air, fresh!




