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I like open source and the internet and prediction markets. I live in Denver. Yay!
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greggles

Net worth: H$14,353

Predictions made: 106

from Greg@knaddison.com, . Member since Sun 3rd Feb

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greggles left these comments.

From http://ostatic.com/177058-blog/with-chrome-google-busts-a-move-right-out-of-microsofts-playbook

"By the way, Pichai also confirmed that Mac and Linux versions of Chrome will arrive in the first half of next year"
From http://ostatic.com/177058-blog/with-chrome-google-busts-a-move-right-out-of-microsofts-playbook

"By the way, Pichai also confirmed that Mac and Linux versions of Chrome will arrive in the first half of next year"
So...shojun is pretty confident on this one
45% chance in first place ahead of IE?!?!

Hubdub is clearly showing a "tech-early-adopter" bias.

/me makes more purchases of the rest of the contracts =D
So...time to settle this, right?

In cases where the question is unclear on a closing date I assume that the suspend date is the closing date (the date by which the event has to happen). Otherwise, in the long run, Motorola _will_ get out of the handset business...when the earth explodes/collapses/ceases to be populated.
Phew - I thought the world was flipped upside down for a minute.

Thanks for the feedback jenniandboys and buckeyetom.
I believe this was settled incorrectly - it was settled as "McCain leads by 3,4 or 5 points"

But this article from gallup.com says Obama leads by 4%: http://www.gallup.com/poll/108673/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Leads-McCain-Four-Points.aspx

I assume it was just a mistake because the range is correct but the candidate is wrong. Right?
Same question as http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/When_will_Firefox_3_be_released_5201...

Why was this settled? I don't see a Firefox3 release anywhere...?
Why was this settled? I don't see a Firefox3 release anywhere...?
posted 24 weeks ago on When will Firefox 3 be released?
I see two questions here:

A Google branded phone or just a phone based on Android?

To me, a "Google branded phone" would be a phone with the Google name on the box, on the physical phone itself, marketed and sold by Google. In contrast, an Android phone is just any phone that runs the Android operating system: http://code.google.com/android/

So...which kind of phone are we talking about here?

@newswrangler - it appears that this is no longer suspending in February...
Interesting logic. I'll have to think about that a bit...

In general, most prediction markets I'm aware of allow transactions right up until the last second (if not slightly beyond).
Can someone explain the gaming that could occur if this were open up until the last minute? I don't get the early suspension other than the lock up the HD$ for an extra couple days...
This seals the deal for me: http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2008/pulpit_20080215_004309.html

Cringley is occasionally wrong with his predictions, but rarely wrong when he gets a lead like this.