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measure

Net worth: H$29,542

Predictions made: 127

Member since Mon 28th Jan

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measure left these comments.

This thing is in court already.
Edit to my comment above: I want guns with similar kill rates to those available at the time the constitution was drafted to be available today.
Dragon, no worries, we got through the Clinton Years pretty well... though I hope Obama doesn't just sit on the open conflicts like Clinton did with Iraq and just do nothing about them...

And Gun control? When the constitution was written, the deadliest guns you could buy cheaply could kill maybe 3-4 people an hour, at best. Now, if there were no restrictions, there are guns availble you could take down to the mall and kill 100's of people per hour with.

I don't mind a certain amount of gun control for pubic safety, as long as the guns with kill rates comparable to those widely available at the time the constitution was signed. I don't mean to be so morbid, but that's what you are looking at with no gun control at all.

As for the world being liberal? Eh, quality of life tends to be higher in countries that have embraced liberalism. There are exceptions to the rule, but it tends to indicate that liberalism, and some degree of socialism, doesn't hurt the world too badly.

I used to be strictly conservative, But now consider myself libretarian, but not as wildly agaisnt liberalism as I used to be. Goverenment should be smaller, but It's not the end of the world if it gets larger.
Man, I tied up a bunch of money predicting this would be settled "yes". And it appears it will be... but I can't find a major news source that is calling North Carolina for Obama, and it may not happen for over a week... http://www.wnct.com/nct/news/politics/article/which_presidential_candidate_won_north_carolina_no_official_results_yet/22921/
There's a decent shot at this. If there is a landslide, it will be Obama.

Obama is rubbing Mccain's face in it with an adbuy in Arizona today. Basically, Obama has the election locked up and has money to burn.
I don't think Gerogia is in play. Take a look at the numbers on fivethirtyeight.com sidebar.

They're only giving obama an 8 percent shot at winning GA. Not great.
Seriously? has any driver EVER been injured by a beer can?
Hah, I said JGR? I was thinking them because they are adding a 4th team next year.
JGR doesn't need another A-list driver.

I don't know for sure what their respective contract situations are, but I'm thinking Kasey Kahne or Juan Pablo would be good fits with JGR
Iron man is going to be hit hard by its target audience being busy playing GTA 4.

However, GTA 4 will not at all effect the target audience of Narnia. I'm going Narnia on this.
Oh man. After Gordon's and now McDowell's crash, I don't know if it's POSSIBLE for a NASCAR driver to die in a wreck, at least in these CoT cars.

That's a good thing for NASCAR, but not a good thing for this question remaining viable.
No, from my clarification on the original post, I said, "will Jeff continue his dominance of this statistical category?"

I would say that that means a tie should be answered "No"
I've wondered about that too, since I didn't write the question completely clearly. My bad.

The way it's written... I would almost have to say that tied for the lead is sharing the lead, is leading the standings.

What do you think?
http://msn.foxsports.com/nascar/cup/standings?season=2008&dir=descending&stat=dnf&gameId=20080406032

Unfortunately, I don't seem to be able to filter it with highest number first, so Gordon drops to the bottom of the list with this view.
damn it. Just watched Kyle go to the garage, and I can't pull my bet out? gah.
I'm bettin' on Kyle, Dale, and The field.
Yeah, it seemed very possible when I wrote this question, but all the teams that had reason to swap points have announced they won't be doing it.

This question still shouldnt' be settled as time still remains, but 0 is looking like the most likely answer at this pointt.
Please explain how just one car can swap owner's points?

The reason that 1 isn't an answer is because any swap by definition, would involve at least 2 cars.
Interesting. What I can't figure is why Mccain is running lower than Clinton/Obama when he's the only one who has actually passed the primaries.

After the democrat candidate is chosen, neither remaining candidate should be running under 45 percent, at worst.
I don't know. I just put another 1k on Mccain, and it shot him up from 17 to 43. With a volume of over 400k in the last 24 hours, it doesn't seem like 1k should be making a huge difference.
I put 1K on Obama, and it shot him up from 36 to 58? what???
In my defense, This was one of the first questions I made for hubdub. It looks like I should have included a "Any other driver" option, as a new rookie is being handed David Ruitiman's points as he switches to the #44 upon Jarett's retirement.

He won't be handed driver's points, but will be handed enough owner's points to keep him locked in the top 35

And all the rookies listed here appear to be falling out of the top 35.

With any luck, he won't win the award, but this may become my first voided question.
Entry list for Bristol is only 46 cars. Only 3 will be sent home. Waltrip's chances of staying in the top 35 just got a little bump.
Waltrip's now made 4 straight, no reason to think he'll goof and miss race 5.
Yeah, But hubdub wasn't around back then.
Crap, I set that percentage up on the wrong side of the bar. Oh well, free money for everyone!
What happens to this question if Toyota doesn't win at all this year?

Can this question be settled if Toyota hasn't won by March 30th? I'd say no, the way the question is worded.

It will have to stay open the rest of the season to see if the final answer would pay off.

This question has no failure option.
Doh! If They had named the race, I would have found it.
Yeah, it's morbid. But I've got a dark sense of humor.

And, the hit Gordon took on Sunday was pretty severe. Got me thinking.
Interesting how Hubdub works. There's no betting against any one of the dates, so the March 2 date, which should now be at zero, is managing to sit at 11 percent, as of the time of this comment.

If you could bet against a single part of this question, that would have zeroed out on sunday.
Gotta take the field. Actually, I spread my money around a little on this one. I can't believe JJ and the Shrub are sitting higher than the field right now, though.
I think they'll make it back ok, but i'm pretty sure even NASA would put the odds at less than 98 percent. I'll stake 20 Hbucks on them dying in a fiery crash.
So now the military is saying First week of march... but they are threatening to shoot it down.

If it's shot down instead of crashing down, does that make this question invalid?
According to my google search, zero is considered even by some, and as neither even nor odd by others. I've seen mathmatical proofs both ways, in fact.

I would say if reuitiman wins, question should be voided.
Jericho, that's a great idea as well. It would be simpler to implement than my idea, but the drawback is that there might not be enough people weighing in on a question in the first 12 hours to make the percentage change as it should.

My solution would require all propositions to get a certain number of 'reviews' by different members before letting the props go live. In each review, the member would just be putting in what he thinks the starting percentages should be.

If the prop can't hit that number of reviews, perhaps there isn't enough intrest to put it on the site anyway.
After creating this question, I think I set the percentage a little to low. But I can't do anything to edit it now.
I was just about to create the question, then did a search and found it. Good stuff.
My opionion: People should game the system as much as they can.

IF the administrators care enough, they will take measures to end the cheating. (It can be done!)

IF the admins don't, Hubdub will eventually fade away.... unless it becomes so fun to game the system that gaming alone brings in more users.
I think you get your original stake back if a question is voided.

I've emailed the operators of this site with an idea to somewhat fix the system... Before a proposition goes active, let users assign what they think the starting percentages should be. Go with an average of 10 users or so, and you'd start with percentages in the right range. There could be a section of the site dedicated to working new propositions before they go live.
My complaint is as follows: IF I had known that the rules had changed for this question, and that it would still be open during the game, I would have paid attention to the site during the game, and cashed out when my payoff was high. As it was, I assumed my bet on the Patriots couldn't be changed and didn't visit this site during the game.

I'm in favor of not closing the sports propositions before the end of the event, but I am NOT in favor of changing the rules without actively informing me, or even giving me a chance to withdraw my bet at the time the rule changes.
Yeah, I think another question will have to be made when the chase starts, But this one should pick up some popularity after the first few races. I couldn't include everybody as I could only have 9 drivers and the field before I hit the limit. Instead of looking at vegas odds, I went with the leaders at the end of the previous season.

Honestly, I don't think Hamlin has much chance of winning the championship, and Earnhardt still has to prove himself, but If he's got the talent, he definitely has the right equipment this year.
Why, novo? The question is very precise... there won't be much question on anyone's mind as to if it has been fulfilled or not by the end date. I'm just surprised it hasn't settled down to 99.5 percent 'no' yet.
According to Wikipedia, Scientists believe there is ice at the surface near the poles of Mercury... in some deep craters.
I for one put more H$ on the Patriots when the odds got out of whack. If they dip again, I'll put another hundred on.
Wait.. does this mewan for the batman movie that has already been filmed, or the script for the next sequel?
Mccain is too liberal to get the republican nomination. Romney is the best-financed candidate, and has the right ideological viewpoint to please the conservatives.

I don't think he will become presidnent, but it's pretty clear at this point that he's getting the nomination.
Momentum? Which team hasn't lost a single game this year?