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Performance this quarter
  • Gain: hd$+434,368
  • Leaderboard: #5
  • Best category: Technology (#1)
  • Worst category: Science (#1419)
Activity
  • Open predictions: 842 (342 public)
  • Created questions: 5 open
  • Comments: 1186
  • Friends: 53
  • Some numbers updated hourly
    Questions created
    H$37,683
    H$7,591
    H$7,460
    H$6,141
    H$4,312

    newswrangler

    Net worth: H$1,611,297

    Predictions made: 11346

    male, from United States. Member since Mon 28th Jan

    Latest activity
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    They said: Hey! See if you can predict the outcome of this question I created. R view question...
    Shouts

    Please log in or join to send shouts to your friends.

      59 randburg
    Hi Friend! At least we are back on the leaderboards again, after an absence...but I don't notice you around much at the moment? No "comments" for the last week or so...are you possibly on vacation? I'm sure that it is well-earned and hope that you are having a great time.

    At least, it's nice to know that you are missed!
    sent 9 weeks ago
      58 curios
    i have reset the original because i had the interest rate was incorrect the time was perfect it gets announced at 2.30 pm ad i set it at 12 midday
    thanks for the additional info
    sent 11 weeks ago
    I appreciate your comments about commercial timing, thanks. I agree, there ARE very few single event commercials. Did you happen to catch the montage (sp?) commercials by Nike in the Olympics, they moved me, very artistic, clever and a flurry on images that invoked some of my best and most vibrant Olympic memories. This kind of creativity is something I aspire to.
    sent 12 weeks ago
      56 newswrangler[Power User] (on own profile)
    Valornhonor -- I think I understand the sentiment of your message, and I don't disagree with your view on the timing of it...

    My sense of that sentiment is that it's like sending someone a birthday card -- better for it to arrive a day early, then have it be received a day late. And perhaps what I was saying seemed like "it either has to arrive at the exact time of their birth anniversary, or it's imperfect".

    In fact, my comment was apolitical. I'm a big fan of (have a keen awareness of, and appreciation for) "single event commercials" as an advertising strategy -- and my comments, while made about a political example, were based in the, perhaps less volatile, advertising context.

    These days ;-) there are fewer (and fewer) single-event commercials then in days gone by. And I understand many of the reasons why... and, at the same time, it makes those commercials that are made for a single event all the more outstanding (to me).

    Probably the best one I've seen over the past year, is the 60-second commercial Coca Cola made expressly for the Macy's Day Parade! Maybe you've seen it -- it's in the "Emmy Award for Outstanding Commercial" question I made here on Hubdub.

    So, the "comment I didn't make" within my comment ;-) was ... "imagine what the reaction would have been, had Obama completed his acceptance speech, and the commercial networks immediately aired John McCain's 'Congratulations Commercial' ! What would the buzz have been then amongst the pundits!"

    I don't pay the bills -- nor do I know if such a strategy is "a good one" or if an embargo on secrecy is possible anymore to effect such a presentation -- but that was the sentiment behind my comment.

    Thanks for taking the time to let me know how you felt!
    posted 12 weeks ago
    Hey NW,

    I'm fascinated by your comment, "The blush soon came off the rose however, for releasing it early -- and, as you posted, it's already on YouTube. ", wondering, what would have been, in your opinion, a completely non-offensive time/date for this ad? Seems that this exact language in the video would have seemed odd if he said, "Dear Obama, two or three days ago you were nominated, congrats... blah, blah, blah." I can't help but shake the notion that some of the Obama folks are very thin-skinned about scrutiny of any kind and now are making wholesale accusations about trying to orchestrate when their opponent can say things, and what they're allowed to say, at all. By my observation the Obama team has declined the McCain's team for a schedule of town hall meetings, which is their right to decline certainly if they don't feel that it's to their advantage, but now some of their ranks seem to be bristling at everything McCain does, even this apparent compliment. Was it genuine? Who knows? Was it refreshing in it's lack of mud? I dare say... yes.
    sent 12 weeks ago
      54 curios
    its a bit late now as it has been settled . but reading whats on here all is not happy on the super users front
    sent 12 weeks ago
      53 sdchargers[Power User]
    Hi newswrangler-
    TY and sorry it took so long to reply. The first couple days I was getting used to everything and felt a little overwhelmed. I have gotten in more of a routine now, and a better understanding of managing the time I do spend on hubdub. I hope you, or anyone else didn't feel as if I was purposely ignoring anyone.
    Looking forward to working with the team anyone possible to help out. Let me know if you have any pointers for me, as you are one of the best at what you do.
    sent 14 weeks ago
      52 hilly
    Ha ha!
    sent 14 weeks ago
      51 hilly
    Ha ha!
    sent 14 weeks ago
      50 destry[Admin]
    If you have a problem with me you can contact me directly. I don't care to get into discourse with you on the comments board.
    sent 16 weeks ago
      49 mrperfkt[Admin]
    Hey newswrangler!
    Yep, official word isn't out yet, but should be fun!
    Thanks for the shout!
    sent 16 weeks ago
      48 coolkraft
    am now thinking up a question for Kraft foods...lol...
    sent 16 weeks ago
      47 curios
    answers #19 it was you that made my question void in your own words,
    answer# 20 that is plain english don't make out you cant read you are fairly intelligent. again who said i said you where a cheat .......... speak the truth and speak it ever cost you what it will
    is that plain enough?
    sent 16 weeks ago
      46 curios
    straight question straight answer i have never said you have cheated .but more to the point who said i had
    sent 16 weeks ago
      45 curios
    clear my afl questions i have made mine all in advance i dont cheat thank you
    sent 16 weeks ago
      44 curios
    all done and dusted thanks for pointing it out its 1st v third
    sent 17 weeks ago
    Roger That :)

    I'm going to see what I can do to "spiff" it up some. Thanks for your help.
    sent 17 weeks ago
    Hey newswrangler...
    thanks for the tips and advice for creating a better question.

    I saw your emmy question and really love it..I was wondering how you put the YouTube videos inbeded into your question?

    Thanks for any help you can provide.
    sent 17 weeks ago
      41 coolkraft
    as usual thanks for the info...especially the shout...did not know that...have put a comment in the question when you have time let me know what you think....
    sent 18 weeks ago
      40 chatarra
    Thank you so much for the link to Dog of the Day.
    I love it!!!!!
    sent 19 weeks ago
      39 newswrangler[Power User] (on own profile)
    That was terrific!!!!!!!!! ;-)

    Thank you!
    posted 20 weeks ago
    Will that do?
    sent 20 weeks ago
    Thank you for your note about my soundtrack market & Billboard, I just checked it again, late this evening after building this market early this morning, it appears to be identical, I think it does not update through the day.
    sent 20 weeks ago
    I don't think it changes during the day, I'll check it a few times.
    sent 20 weeks ago
    @ newswrangler,

    Thank you for the updated post about the suicide bombing in Iraq, apparently your account involved more precision than the first reports. Do you mind if I read the entire article? Can you reply with the website? Thanks.
    sent 21 weeks ago
      34 kruijs[Power User]
    any question about the EURO quarterfinals semifinals and finals do not need a tie option as long as they are about the final result of the match. A tie can occur after regular playing time (as in every match) but because of the knock out phase a winner than is determined by an extra time of 30 min and eventually even through a penalty shoot out.
    sent 21 weeks ago
    (Sigh)
    sent 23 weeks ago
      32 steph
    Howdy!

    Thanks for the congrats! Should someone create a "Steph or AAA First" question for the H$400K mark? Hehe!

    = )
    sent 24 weeks ago
      31 stephen
    see what you think of this
    http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/hubdub_hall_of_fame
    sent 24 weeks ago
    You're so wrapped up in the whole HD market perspective 8^)

    I decided several weeks ago that I would devote my limited spare time to reading the news, before predicting it. I can't say whether this has helped, or hurt, me on HD, but it has probably clouded my judgment on the Michigan/Florida issue. The mantra is that prediction markets can actually, you know, predict things ... we will see!
    sent 25 weeks ago
    As far as the Michigan/Florida thing goes I heard an interview with unpledged Democratic superdelegate and co-chair of the rules committee, James Roosevelt, in which he said that he, and both campaigns, are committed to enfranchising the democratic voters of Michigan and Florida. He said the rules state they should lose 50% of their delegates for having an illegal primary, but that would probably the basis from which negotiations commence. Based on that I thought I'd take a flier on delegates are awarded. It could easily become another Spitzer (or EBay Spy Satellite 8^).

    Regards,
    AAA
    sent 25 weeks ago
      28 newswrangler[Power User] (on own profile)
    I wish I could create an interesting question about the 2008 Scripps National Spelling Bee -- it's tomorrow night, live starting at 8 pm ET.

    The best I can come up with is "will the winner be a boy or a girl?" { BORING!!! }

    Maybe one of you have an idea/question you can create!

    <http://www.spellingbee.com/>
    posted 25 weeks ago
      27 lesley[Admin]
    thrilled for you!!

    ;-)
    sent 26 weeks ago
      26 lesley[Admin]
    Hope you've got your Over Pants on!
    sent 26 weeks ago
      25 steph
    Hello, newsrangler!

    Did you wrangle the news again? Hehe!

    The McCain joke was made in June 1998, not June 2000. Is this the joke you were referring to?

    http://blogs.trb.com/news/local/longisland/politics/blog/2008/02/past_mccains_old_chelsea_joke.html
    sent 31 weeks ago
      24 rohan
    I lost $10,000 on the DJIA opening. How about some suggestions?
    sent 32 weeks ago
      23 mork[Power User]
    thanks for contributing to that terrorism discussion.
    p.s. I'm a dude
    sent 32 weeks ago
    sorry, wrong 'wrangler', oops!

    sent 32 weeks ago
    Hey!
    Where's that 'cheater report' you were developing?
    Hope you'll share it with the community.
    sent 32 weeks ago
    HubDerivatives are risky investments, please read the prospectus before investing. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance, yada, yada, yada.

    I predicted "No" on both questions this time thinking that all good things must come to pass, and my H$200 predictions grossed a whopping H$507 (which _was_nearly the activity on both questions 8^()

    I made way more H$ in predicting Kubica for pole (First Pole on pole in F1 8^)
    sent 32 weeks ago
      19 mork[Power User]
    In case you haven't heard; http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/i_am_on_strike
    sent 33 weeks ago
      18 lesley[Admin]
    You make a good point re the suspend dates newswrangler and I can understand how annoying you've been finding it these past few days. It is too arbitrary right now and we need to pin down an official policy. I've posted it to getsatisfaction for user input: http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/suspend_v_settlement_times

    Thanks for flagging it. We really appreciate your input.
    sent 33 weeks ago
      17 lesley[Admin]
    Hi newswrangler
    Just wanted to update you on the painting question that was unsuspended yesterday. The suspend date was set a lot earlier than the question could be settled, so rather than tie everyone in unnecessarily, the date was changed. The admin involved should have left a comment but didn't unfortunately. Shouldn't happen again.
    All the best, Lesley.
    sent 33 weeks ago
      16 mork[Power User]
    My guts are telling me you're going to be on top for a while.
    sent 33 weeks ago
      15 randburg
    Twas' the night before New Quarter
    And all through the house
    Not a creature was stirring
    Not even all those nice Scottish Lads and Lasses in a different timezone who sleep while all the really neat stuff happens on American tv, although they never seem to miss the superbowl or debates LIVE...

    I hope that JOLLY OLD SAINT NEW QUARTER is good to you!

    Season's Greetings and Best Wishes

    To My Friends!

    John

    sent 33 weeks ago
      14 rohan
    What I'm saying:
    1.The date is always one week late, a fact I realized after creating the question.
    2. I don't know why. Possibly, since the list is done weekly, they put the date one week late (like some news magazines send out an issue dated 7th January on 1 st January).
    sent 33 weeks ago
      13 rohan
    Yeah, its normal I meant for the question to be for a week, so I put the suspend date for a week after the date given, only to realise that the list was dated one week later than the actual date. So, yeah, its okay!
    sent 33 weeks ago
      12 randburg
    Hey truth/newswrangler!

    CONGRATS ON MAKING THE TOP 20!! It couldn't happen to a nicer hubdubber...
    sent 34 weeks ago
    The Olympics question looks appropriate for a HubDerivative, but the IOC isn't deciding the winning bid until October 2009, which could make it kind of a long running question. I'll think about it. Of course you could create it yourself; I might have created the first HubDerivative, but that doesn't mean I'm the only HubDubbber allowed to create them.
    sent 34 weeks ago
    They edited my HubDerivative, thanks for pointing it out. Now you need to start a GetSatisfaction thread about how the admins edited a question and completely changed its meaning8^)
    sent 34 weeks ago
    What a speculator! I thought you were an advocate of serious news prediction! I could start a whole new class of HubDerivatives, "Will the HubDub Community Correctly Predict (Some Unidentified Hubdub Question)?". But how will it be settled? I predict a lengthy thread on GetSatisfaction about what _I_ intended 8^)

    I'm hoping for admin clarifaction, or at least voiding!
    sent 34 weeks ago
    Thanks for the heads up! It's like emailing a spreadsheet to someone, and forgetting to attach the spreadsheet ... I hate it when I do that!
    sent 34 weeks ago
      7 kruijs[Power User]
    In association with jerry I put up a discussion on HUBDUB playing guidelines for rookies on getsatisfaction:
    http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/the_golden_rules_for_successfully_playing_the_hubdub
    Counting on your contribution! Thanks in advance!
    sent 34 weeks ago
      6 mork[Power User]
    Hi NewsWrangler, Nice to have ya around.
    sent 35 weeks ago
    TruthWrangler, Since the HD admins proposal was rife with issues, and my proposal had issues as well, I've started a new discussion about quarterly HD issues @ http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/hubdub_quarterly_reset_issues. Please contribute your thoughts.
    sent 35 weeks ago
    TruthWrangler (or whatever), I proposed a different quarter ending scheme on the GetSatisfaction thread. I'd love to have your input.
    sent 35 weeks ago
    LOL news/truth wrangler. No matter your identity, you wrangle for the truth. Props, AnAverageAmerican
    sent 35 weeks ago
    What did you do to truthwrangler? He was my friend! Sniff, sniff. Must be a case of mistaken identity ... or identity theft ... or loss of identity 8^)
    sent 35 weeks ago
      1 steph
    Hello!

    If I had to choose between H$ and James....well.....

    Will H$ fish for me?

    Will H$ build a shelter and cuddle with me in the pouring rain?

    Will H$ shake coconuts out of trees for me?

    Well, my choice is obvious..

    = )
    sent 35 weeks ago