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Chief News Junkie at Hubdub
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nigeleccles has 112 friends

nigeleccles

Net worth: H$74,777

Predictions made: 799

male, from Edinburgh, Scotland, United Kingdom. Member since Thu 10th Jan

Questions created

nigeleccles created these questions.

Open questions

25 predictors (1 day)

When will the US pull out of Iraq?

Current forecast: 2011 or later (44% chance)
113 predictors (1 day)

When will Mugabe lose power?

Current forecast: 2009 (71% chance)
13 predictors (1 day)

When will Bin Laden be captured/killed?

Current forecast: 2010 or later (60% chance)
57 predictors (1 day)

Will Mark Zuckerberg still be CEO of Facebook by end of 2008?

Current forecast: 89% chance
13 predictors (1 day)

When will Duke Nukem Forever be released?

Current forecast: 2009 (45% chance)
33 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub flame out by end of 2008?

Current forecast: 9% chance
5 predictors (1 day)

Will Valleywag catch up with Techcrunch by the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 20% chance
15 predictors (1 day)

Wikia v Mahalo: Who will prevail in 2008?

Current forecast: Mahalo (85% chance)
410 predictors (1 day)

Who will buy Yahoo?

Current forecast: Still independent by end of '08 (83% chance)
20 predictors (1 day)

Will print newspapers cease by 2014?

Current forecast: 19% chance
11 predictors (1 day)

Will Google make an offer to buy Salesforce.com this year?

Current forecast: 35% chance
133 predictors (1 day)

Who will be the next Doctor Who?

Current forecast: Other (75% chance)
16 predictors (1 day)

What percentage of front page stories on Digg will be Tech in March 2009?

Current forecast: Bit lower (12.1 - 18%) (37% chance)
40 predictors (1 day)

Who Will Be Yahoo's Next CEO?

Current forecast: Other external hire (69% chance)
26 predictors (1 day)

When Will FriendFeed Have More Unique Visitors Than Twitter?

Current forecast: 2012+ or never (43% chance)
23 predictors (1 day)

Craigslist v eBay: When Will Craigslist Triumph?

Current forecast: 2009 (37% chance)
22 predictors (1 day)

When Will Google Have Its First Crisis?

Current forecast: 2012+ (50% chance)
42 predictors (1 day)

Which Blog Will Be Next To Be Acquired?

Current forecast: ValleyWag (26% chance)
64 predictors (1 day)

Will Digg Sell Before End of 2008?

Current forecast: 19% chance
57 predictors (1 day)

How Many iPhones Will Apple Sell In 2008?

Current forecast: 12 million or more (96% chance)
22 predictors (1 day)

Who will be Yahoo's next CEO? [updated candidates]

Current forecast: Other (28% chance)

Settled questions

24 predictors (1 day)

When will Musharraf lose power in Pakistan?

Settled as Jul to Dec 2008
22 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub flame out by June 2008?

Settled as No
93 predictors (1 day)

What will be the principal reason given for the British Airways crash at Heathrow?

Settled as Mechanical or electronic failure
39 predictors (1 day)

When will NBC shows make it back to iTunes?

Settled as May or later/never
39 predictors (1 day)

What will happen to Scrabulous?

Settled as Still running and independent
17 predictors (1 day)

When will Google Health launch?

Settled as Q2 2008
19 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub win a DEMO God?

Settled as No
118 predictors (1 day)

Who will buy Digg by end of June?

Settled as Still independent
104 predictors (1 day)

Facebook v MySpace: Who will grow faster in March?

Settled as Facebook
7 predictors (1 day)

When will Hulu launch into public beta?

Settled as W/C March 9th
10 predictors (1 day)

What will YouTube launch on March 12th?

Settled as Other
9 predictors (1 day)

Will WAYN be sold by the end of April?

Settled as No
17 predictors (1 day)

When will Flickr launch video?

Settled as April
12 predictors (1 day)

Who will buy Newsday?

Settled as Other acquiror
109 predictors (1 day)

Will Google Still Be Ahead of Yahoo in May?

Settled as Yes
17 predictors (1 day)

When Will Alexa Next Update?

Settled as By end of May
54 predictors (1 day)

What Will Google Launch Next?

Settled as Other
56 predictors (1 day)

Are Mahalo and Squidoo roadkill?

Settled as No
31 predictors (1 day)

DEMOfall v TechCrunch50: Who Will Win?

Settled as TechCrunch50
18 predictors (1 day)

ONA08: Who will win the Breaking News Award (Large Site)?

Settled as NYTimes.com - Spitzer Resignation
10 predictors (1 day)

ONA08: Who will win the Breaking News Award (Medium Site)?

Settled as STLtoday.com - Kirkwood Shootings
9 predictors (1 day)

ONA08: Who will win the Investigative Journalism Award (Large Site)?

Settled as DallasNews.com - Unequal Justice
9 predictors (1 day)

ONA08: Who will win the Outstanding Use of Digital Technologies Award (Large Site)?

Settled as DesMoinesRegister.com - Iowa Caucuses
16 predictors (1 day)

Who will buy Washington Mutual?

Settled as JP Morgan Chase
146 predictors (1 day)

Who will Joe the Plumber endorse for President?

Settled as McCain

Suspended questions

Void questions

0 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub win a DEMO God?

Voided
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub win a DEMO God?

Voided
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub win a DEMO God?

Voided
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub win a DEMO God?

Voided
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Hubdub win a DEMO God?

Voided
7 predictors (1 day)

Test market

Voided