nigeleccles

(W) Greg Stanfield (Attitude Apparel GXP) 0.024 6.677 206.29
(L) David Beckley (Mountain View Tires Stratus) 0.051 6.725 204.76

This is the first time Stanfield and Beckley have faced each other in eliminations. Stanfield with the starting line advantage and he runs his quickest and fastest pass of the weekend for the win. Greg Stanfield's incremental times: 60ft-0.996 sec., 330ft-2.792, 660ft-4.293/164.13 mph, 1,000ft-5.586. Stanfield will have lane choice over WJ in round two.

nigel,nhra beckley did qualify in vegas,he lost in round 1

Dear Designers of Hubdub,

I am fan of Hubdub and I am a student from China who is very interested in Mathematics and Computer. Since Hubdub is so interesting, I keep wondering how it works. I am particular interested in the mechanism that you use to decide the percentage increase of a certain topic after a player makes a new bet on that topic.
For example, a player put $100 on the “Yes” side, and I suppose the equation for calculating the new percentage is:
New % =[(total amount bet on “Yes” + $100)/(total amount bet on that topic + $100) - Original%]. And I designed a program based on the above equation and I found that the outcome was different from that on Hubdub. I checked the javascript code of that webpage, which is
var val_raw = 20000 * Math.log( Math.exp((_('price').value/20000) + Math.log(225.28607682925)) - 55.681196240513) - 102669.43
I studied the parameters in the above equations and I have understood how the 55.681196240513 was generated. But I still couldn’t figure out what 225.28607682925, 102669.43 and 20000 represent for. This question has bothered me for a few days and I really want to understand it. So could you help me out? I hope that does not infringe your right and I really appreciate your help!
Looking forward to your reply & Thank you very much!

Nigel,
Who is the political category editor. Can you get word to him/her? According to the terms of settlement, this question cannot yet be settled.
http://www.hubdub.com/m23368/Who_will_win_Israeli_general_elections_in_February_2009_
Thanks

Congrats on the round by the way. :)

Hi Nigel. I live in the USA.

Was your picture taken in the Hubdub pub that I have heard so much about?

Happy Birthday big bro!!:)

sorry this is the only way i can get in touch with you.

Hi nigel
At 8;41 am I made a perdition on
This

http://www.hubdub.com/m24793/Will_the_bse_open_up_on_the_8th_dec08

At that time it showed that it closed in 3hrs .
I have checked all others on opening and they at this stages showing the right times for that day.
I know you think I am a winger nothing could be further from the truth.
Strange things happen to mine always .
The person or persons that are altering things are well known to you .
When I saw that the time had been altered I flagged it but as usual it has been cut off at the pass.
If you are interested I can send to you two e-mails I received that may make you think
Regards
Chris Andrews

http://www.hubdub.com/m10716/Will_Mike_Arrington_Be_Charged_In_Connection_With_Attempting_To_Sell_His_Vote Mike Arrington is not suspected of selling his vote - the original article is Max Sanders not Mike Arrington. Mike Arrington only reported on this incident. This question should be voided since Mike Arrington was never suspected of selling his vote on Ebay. I misunderstood the question when I originally bid on it and thought it was refering to Max Sanders.

The question is therefore automatically settled as no he will not be charged since he didn't commit the crime in the first place. He didn't ever put his vote up on Ebay for sale.

http://www.cnn.com/video/?JSONLINK=/video/politics/2008/10/16/am.obama.tax.vote.cnn

Thx for the add, I was just wandering around, and your pic caught my eye. You're doing what I wish I was doing right now!!!

Have a great day!
Scott

Oh dear. My Mr. Olympia question and your "Which bank will go next" question cost me $12k. Now all my hopes are riding on McCain. It's make or break. McCain wins, I'm still in Hubdub, he loses, I'm a goner. By the way, was it my imagination or didn't Morgan Stanley sell off some of their equity before the Washington bank went tits up? (Can you hear the clutched straws?)

Mike

P.S. Through in Edinburgh Sunday afternoon. Is that a good time for you guys?

Hi Nigel,
we exchanged emails re possible improvements in "scoring" H$... etc.

Since I am not familiar with the software you described. If you think my ideas might be useful, I think the only way to possibly help would be for me to talk to one of your programmers... etc...
In any case, nice to hear your comments about hubdub, and possible ways to improve it...
ken

what do you know about rugby?

Are you available to meet up this week? I have a couple of things to ask.
Cheers
Raymond

Nigel,

I see that it is voided now, but here it is: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_Paris_Hilton_suck_another_dick_534/view

Hey Nigel,

Cognos made a comment on an old, unpopular market a bit ago that should INDEED be voided. I've been pleasantly surprised at the level of professionalism oveall on this site, so something crass like this looks even more offensive because it so rare and out of character. Not to be a proponent of sensorship, but is there a way to expunge this from history? I'm afraid it might turn off new users. It's the one about Paris Hilton.

So is this indicative of what a World Editor would have to deal with? Sheesh! Also, thanks for the tip about cuil, I tried to come up with an interesting angle and when I found that Google was coming up on their 10th anniversary I thought it made an interesting comparison. http://www.hubdub.com/m12402/Do_Russian_Women_make_really_good_Wives

Looks more like not so subtle marketing to me than news prediction.

Great idea, thanks! My orig cell phone is active again.

Nigel, how about a market about cuil? Is there an index we can forecast it's traction against?

http://www.hubdub.com/m12086/How_long_will_it_take_Russian_snipers_to_remove_bears_from_mining_compound_area


I'm not real comfortable making question yet. Would you please check this to make sure it is properly set up?

Thanks Allen

FYI I wasn't logged in when I clicked on the question option 4 or more. http://www.hubdub.com/m12083/How_many_more_major_US_cities_ban_plastic_bags_from_stores_before_July_25_2009

I was taken to the log in page and then straight to the bid accepted h$20 I was never given a chance to chose how much to bid. I will keep the bid that it gave me but it should have given me a chance to decide for myself. Might have a few angry people if this happens and all they wanted to do was see the odds in h$.

OK this question http://www.hubdub.com/m9795/Will_Google_still_be_ahead_of_Yahoo_in_June is way overdue for an answer. I've researched it and comscore still hasn't released the data. How much longer do you recommend that we wait?

Nigel congratulations on the two score of applications you've received for the positions of category editor. This level of interest further validates the unique and interesting structure of this site. I remember seeing a hilarious news clip once of waiter applicants at a Vancouver, BC restaurant being chased around the establishment by the owner barking nonsense at them to see if they could; navigate the tables without spilling a bottle of held wine, remember multiple complex orders, serve patrons and do it all with a pleasant demeanor. This test was to try and determine the best candidates from a large field...


Anyway, should you wish to put us all to any kind of battery of tests or comparative demonstrations, I'd be honored to be considered for any such secondary or tertiary reviews. May you have a great week and may this site continue to grow and prosper.

Regards,
Adam / V&H

Sorry to bug you again. I got an email from an address that doesn't seem right Hubdub [hubdub@jangomail.com] is this a legit addy for hubdub?

Allen

Thanks for the help. Question for you. I've noticed a few problems on the site where or to whom should I report them? They are all minor and are mainly aesthetics but would help in the overall look of the site.

Nigel, kudos on the the Related Tags box on the right hand side of the home page, I presume the font size corresponds to the amounts of wagers live on HD. It is similar to a website that I use to gauge the intest of news stories in the US, UK, Canada and select other countries, perhaps you've seen it, but if not here is the website: http://marumushi.com/apps/newsmap/newsmap.cfm. Again, my compliments on the contiued improvements to the site, plz give my regards to your staff.

Adam

Hey I got my mom to sign on as a friend from my email but I never got my 50 that the email said I got???????

I just created the question: Will Google still be ahead of Yahoo in June? and I think I put it in the wrong category. I put it in Business>Results and I just realized that the May question was in Technology>Internet or something like that. Is it ok where I put it or should it be moved to the same as the old question?

Allen

FYI I just found this and thought you would like to have it.

Google Sites maintained its #1 position in the Top Properties ranking, reaching 143.4 million Americans in May. Yahoo! Sites ranked second with nearly 143 million visitors, followed by Microsoft Sites with 121.3 million visitors. Time Warner – Excluding AOL moved up one position to #9 with 56 million visitors. IRS.gov jumped 14 positions to #20 with 31 million visitors, propelled by Americans checking the status of tax refunds and stimulus checks.

Taken from:

http://www.comscore.com/press/release.asp?press=2270

Nigel, you were absolutely right. Sorry :)

Nigel, I find your FF3 question problematic.

the current version to be spread is a RC it is not the official final version. that would be the one you get with the auto-update functionality. I serously think the starting odds (50%) are way off therefor. When released officially it could reach 5 Mio (because of auto-update) but i doubt it will be enough today.

Nigel,

I'm grateful for your quick reply, thanks! To be honest this past job paid the bills but it wasn't the type of creative outlet that I really thrive in.

Perhaps this transition will be a similar catalyst for me as you enjoyed. Please don't think that I am asking for special consideration, if/when you open up positions to anyone it would be my pleasure to throw my hat into the ring and be judged on my individual merits along with everyone else. The only distinction being that I've already had something of a chance to 'introduce' myself to HD by my participation since joining at the beginning of May.

Anyway, thank you again for the reply, I love the site it’s a great forum for promoting cognitive thinking.

Adam
Aka Valornhonor

Hello Nigel,

I hope you've had a lot of success this week here in the state procuring more investment, I honestly believe that HD has a very bright future. I would like to let you know a couple of things.

First, it has been a genuine delight to be involved with this site for the past six weeks; everyone there has been gracious while I've learned how to properly construct markets, etc.

Secondly, and this is sooner than I'd intended... if you ever found yourself in a position where you were considering other state-side staff members I would be interested in discussing something with you. I was hoping to get up to 100 Open markets and have proven that my markets had driven a particular amount of activity to the site prior to sending this but my timeline was shortened this morning when I received a severance call from my employer. My company is owned by the US Airlines and it doesn't take a newshound to know the state of the US Airline industry! I've enjoyed the past 20 years in this industry, it's the majority of the my adult life has been involved with airlines but now, apparently, it's time for a change. I have no doubt that I will find something else quickly but it occurred to me that working with you somehow might be exciting as well.

You likely won't see many markets from me in the next few days, I'll be a bit busy, but soon I will resume activity.

Thank you for everything Nigel, give my regards to Lesley.

Adam Johnson

aha ... okay, alright, I understand, hmmmmmm

to the US? why do you fly to the US? must I make a wager on the "will hubdub move to the US" question?

you might have heard of this already,
http://www.ap.org/newmodel.pdf
nevertheless, I find it interesting.

tell me what you think of this
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/highest_net_worth_reached

i know that it was 'hard to see' any gaming
but i believe that many questions have been voided for the "potential to be gamed" and not any gaming in itself
hope that helps

thanks
-stephen

hi nigel i disagree with the settlement of this question
i know that it says 'no signs of gaming' and that all predictions after a certain time were voided but it still could have easily been gamed. People could have been creating questions by a lot last night and nights before in order to make this question stay in the correct range

http://www.hubdub.com/m7262/How_many_active_Hubdub_markets_will_there_be_when_this_market_is_settled_on_June_1_2008

i feel stupid for betting on this question
and i didnt realize how easily it could be gamed

and i know this may seem like something to get my money back
but i dont think it was fair
and i only lost 100 hubdub dollars sooo it doesnt even matter
im just thinking people got some cash too unfairly

thanks, stephen

see what you think of this
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/hubdub_hall_of_fame

I'll soon be richer than you!!!!

Thanks Nigel, I appreciate the reply.

Completely enthused,
Adam

Hey Nigel...

I feel a bit uneasy about sending this to you, but I believe you are the originator of this site... I have only been engaged with hubdub for the month of May but I'm entirely enjoying it. Check me out and see how many markets I've created, etc. as proof.

Here is my thinking... as a beta this site is a bit vulnerable to evolving into something other than just a news prediction site. By that I mean that the recent philisophical exchanges that I see going back and forth under comments are fascinating, and as an individual I enjoy this "iron on iron" sharpening of thoughts, but it seems to have strayted from the intent of the comment section.

Has there ever been, or would you consider a gentle suggestion to the constiuents that otherwise personal exchanges like the ones I'm seeing under comments this morning mgith be better suited as 'shouts' back and forth between participants rather that to force the entire community to have to wade through them?

Just a gentle suggestion about a way to keep the site robust, I'd be interested in your thoughts, but of course you're not obliged in any way.

If you'd prefer to communicate directly on my email it is adam_peace_harmony2006@yahoo.com.

Regards,
Adam Johnson
aka valornhonor

http://rohanm33.wordpress.com/2008/05/16/hubdub-quiz/

Glad this isn't a betting site as I'm in the red.

Boris came in trumps then, i have lost a stack on Liverpool and red ken this last week.

Ha. everybody is beating me this week (well, except Tom obviously). I think we need to keep refining the leaderboard algorithm until I'm top....

show me the rule that says that...!!!

ha ha - I'm storming up the leaderboard!!!

so, you were on the "Oktober Fest" in munich, drank a lot of beer and you can't remember where now you don't have a clue where that is?
wow, huge black out ... maybe you had a few too many "Mass" beer (http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ma%C3%9Fkrug)?

Ok since that mug is actually TWO pints big, you say, I don't mind going to Germany for it at all. Yes you could say I am a closet Raiders fan. Someday when they start playing well again, I'll come out of that closet :0 ... I might be pretty old by then, who knows.

Nigel thanks for accepting the invite. Now in return, I want you to take me to that pub in your picture when I travel to the UK someday. Anyone who enjoys a good pint now and again is definitely my friend!

Alrighty Big bro!
How's it going?
x

http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/i_am_on_strike

Have you found yourself yet on ALL 743 LEADERBOARDS? I ran out of fingers and toes, just counting the possibilities...

Also, hat tip to rohan for noticing it first!

Props on the selection to Web Mission 2008! A HubMilestone!

SOMEONE IS TRYING TO GAME THIS MARKET.http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_HUBDUB_have_more_then_10000_members_by_June_1st_2008_midnight_2586/view SEE:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5348
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5349
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5350
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5345 AND http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5346
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5371 AND http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5372 AND http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5373 AND http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5374

do you have another screen name "nemesis"?

Hubdub.com is one of 20 UK companies hand-picked to attend Web Mission 2008, a new initiative set up to enable successful UK-based entrepreneurs to build relationships with influential people in Silicon Valley and explore possible future opportunities.
[http://www.prweb.com/releases/hubdub/breaking_news/prweb762714.htm]

Congratulations!

Leon is wondering if he can join, or is there age restriction?

Is that becos you're a big kid yourself?? lol

Hi Big bro!
Hope all going good with you, and you not too tired after your weekend?? lol

could you do me a favour? This question: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/BSE_Sensex_Open_up_or_down_Mar_20th_4341/view

needs to be edited to be edited to Monday Mar 24 bcos the market is closed thursday-friday

Please edit..thanks

I'm about 67 times your wealth..

:)

(just kidding - I love it really)

(because of all the abuse I'm getting)

I wish I never released this feature

That is a challenge, considering I can't play!

Prepare to lose!