onedave

The US Chess Federation is reporting the game.
http://main.uschess.org/content/view/8902/475/

Philadelphia won the World Series.

Wow. So many Hubdubbers think the #1 team will lose two out of their last three games.

@pixelpaws, you are right. Four is the minimum and will occur if all four teams make their first Final Four appearance.

There have actually been five races. However, Piironen still leads the standings on November 16.

States certify their election results after the election.

Castillo has been indicted and plans to plead not guilty. An arraignment is scheduled for November 13. If he is convicted, he could face up to 16 years in prison.
http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/1250573,CST-SPT-chiefs30.article

Starting percentages were based on the video maintaining the same popularity as it has already received and my math skills.

I think it is something that Nigel's baby said. It does not really mean anything.

It looks like Obama has won another electoral vote.
http://omaha.com/index.php?u_page=2835&u_sid=10481441

Just so everyone knows there are 538 electoral votes available. It seems like the current count is 364-173 with one vote still undecided in Nebraska.

It looks like Obama won the Hubdub election with 364 electoral votes. According to MSNBC, Obama stands at 349. North Carolina, the last undecided state, has 15 electoral votes available.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23907597

Roane State's last game is February 21.
http://www.njcaa.org/schmain.cfm?sid=4&divid=1&gender=m&slid=2&menu=11&schmenu=1&cid=1349

This market will be voided if McCain is elected President.

@lvnmom: You need to flag the question by selecting 'Flag for Review,' under the prediction options. Type in the box that you would like your prediction voided. Then state your case. The category editor will review the information that you give and decide whether your bet should be canceled.

You may also want to check the value of your prediction. If you have made a profit, it is better just to cash out.

Of course, this market will be voided if McCain wins the election.

Although the polls close in Indiana close at 6:00 pm, part of Indiana is in the Central time zone.

This match is still going on. It looks like Space has one more knight. Earth has one more bishop. The next space shuttle flight is scheduled to lift off November 14 at 6:55 pm EST.
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/shuttle/shuttlemissions/sts126/index.html
http://main.uschess.org/content/view/8860/475/

Ocho Cinco scored two touchdowns. He gave the head coach a kiss after the second one.
http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/recap?game_id=29646&displayPage=tab_recap&season=2008&week=REG9

San Diego State 1-8
Army 3-6
North Texas 1-8
Florida International 3-5
Utah State 2-7
Total of 10 wins so far

Clarification: If Kelly is ruled guilty by insanity, this market will be settled as 'Declared insane by trial.'

On a percentage basis, small bets give you the best returns. Also, when you place large bets, other Hubdubbers cash out their predictions. As a result, the value of your prediction drops.

They also allow you to make more predictions, because you are not tying up as much of your money.

Connecticut, Minnesota and Cincinnati have all been upset.

The "My Predictions" page lists where the market stands if you cash out.

Look at it this way. If you put H$1,000 on McCain when the market was at 15.61%, the market probably went up to about 22%. However, your value would still be 15.61%. Otherwise, you could cash out immediately and make a nice profit.

@dd: Would you like someone to reply to your comment?

The article says that Kelly is 76, not 73.

Clarification: The pitcher does not need to win 24+ games.

One thing that I do is cash out when a prediction gets up to about 95%. At that point, I know that I can only make a H$1 or 2. Then if the market goes down to 60% or so, I re-invest the exact money that I received from the earlier prediction. For example, if my H$20 prediction becomes H$30, I cash out. Then when the percentages change, I re-invest the H$30. If I had kept my money in the original prediction, I might have received H$32, but now I might receive H$40.

Superusers are users who help the category editors by the following:
1. tracking down settlement information.
2. flagging questions that are inappropriate or poorly worder
3. creating "missing" questions
4. responding to user comments

The question is referring to the winner of the Hubdub election. The words 'US Election total' are implied at the end of the prediction options.

We will suspend this market at 8:37 pm.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pJDwSaE2edc

The current Hubdub prediction is Obama receives 375 electoral votes in the Hubdub election. To settle as one of the higher options, Obama would need to receive more than 375 electoral votes in the general election.

Current BCS rankings:
10 Utah
11 Boise State
13 TCU
16 Ball State
18 Tulsa
20 Brigham Young

The BCS bowls are: BCS National Championship Game, Rose Bowl, Orange Bowl, Fiesta Bowl, Sugar Bowl

After nine moves, it looks like both sides have lost a knight. Space has lost a bishop.
http://main.uschess.org/content/view/8825/475/

The first two days averaged 8.7.

@bayoubear: I am not sure if there is a category for largest ostrich sandwich, but if the sandwich sets the record for largest sandwich it will also be the largest ostrich sandwich.

Related market: http://www.hubdub.com/m18487/At_what_time_EST_on_November_45_will_CNN_call_the_Presidential_Election_winner#

@mrperfkt: Yes. The Nielsen ratings are being used for settlement. I am not sure if Nielsen themselves report the average rating, but a news source like Reuters should.

@bob: Hubdub cash is measured in dollars and cents. However, it rounds your income to the nearest dollar. This should be obvious when you look at the e-mails you get when a market is settled.

Your gains were something like H$1.60, H$0.60 and H$25.80 for a total of H$28.00.

@paulcroft: Go to My account at the top of the screen. Then select site settings. Then change the selection under open news articles to 'new browser window.' Then click on 'save changes' at the bottom of the screen. I hope this helps.

@admins, I set the suspend date to be when the overnight ratings are announced for Game 1. Please amend if appropriate.

@edna, grow up

Here is a good youtube video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJX-qvsE26g

I always assumed that a Phillie was someone from Philadelphia, but it looks like I was wrong.

CLARIFICATION: For the Hurricane markets that we've run landfall is counted as when the center moves over land, tropical cyclones also have a center/eye so when those move over land it's landfall.

@curios: Do you mean a quarterly gain of $4686?

This is a known problem. Right now, the only solution I can offer is to move your cursor over the words "Show Details." Then write the link down on paper. Then type the link into your browser window.

http://video.msn.com/video.aspx?mkt=en-US&vid=cf96e720-e70f-40a2-8b7f-6c59ffdc72e6

Wasn't Malcom X assassinated by a black person?

According to the wikipedia article, four cyclones have made landfall. (I need to double-check this but I believe it is right.) It looks like Norbert will become the fifth.

6 hurricanes so far. Bertha, Dolly, Gustav, Hanna, Ike and Kyle

Hi andrewdb: Say you are looking at the all category. You should see a pull-down menu right above the first question. If you select the 'Closing Soon' option, you can see the questions that close soonest. Then you can click on one of the buttons on top. That will show you the soonest closing questions in whatever category you are interested in. Does this help?

Market refers to hurricanes during 2008.

Would questions regarding someone's execution be put in the new category?

Well-known individuals Bob Barr (Libertarian), Alan Keyes (America's Independent) and Ralph Nader (Independent) are all running.

Please remember to keep a friendly tone in here.

He will get married October 26. However, we have to wait and see if he will be able to stand. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26991580/

@roger, click on sortable and searchable prediction list at the top of the 'My Predictions' page. Then click on cat. That should help you.

@roger, just click on Dashboard. There should be a field called 'Your net worth' there. I think that is what you are looking for.

I like this suggestion.

@butterflykisser101: Please re-submit this question to say 'How high will Alabama score this Saturday against Kentucky?' This turns the question from an opinion poll to a news prediction question, which is what we like.

The Tigers' final game is Monday at 2:00 pm EDT. They play the White Sox in a make-up game.

Ron Paul has endorsed Constitution Party nominee Chuck Baldwin.
http://mensnewsdaily.com/2008/09/23/ron-paul-endorses-constitution-party-nominee-chuck-baldwin-for-president-of-the-united-states/

@meetglad: Go ahead and create a new market titled, "When will Congress pass the financial bailout bill?"

I assume that if one station remains analog, it will be reported. With the amount of press that the digital transition is receiving, I find it hard to believe that an analog station could slip through the cracks.

I believe this is the current bill: http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/bdquery/D?d110:2:./temp/~bdEoXB:@@@L&summ2=m&|/bss/d110query.html|

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7625145.stm

http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080920/SPORTS0104/809200420/1004
http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2008/09/sheffield_polanco_ejected_afte.html

Here is a list of the leaders: http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats;jsessionid=EE4A03110D028A32ADFB64298DA7EB9A?season=2008&seasonType=REG&d-447263-o=2&conference=null&tabSeq=0&statisticCategory=PASSING&d-447263-p=1&d-447263-s=PASSING_PASSER_RATING&d-447263-n=1. Keep in mind, the NFL only requires that a player throw 14 passes per game (224 for the season).

If the Red Sox and Orioles both win today, this market will settle as 'no,' and the cut-off time will be 1:07 pm EDT.

This market will settle as 'no,' after the next Dodgers' win or Rockies' loss.

<object id='VideoPlayback' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' height='280' width='320'><param value='http://cfc.wset.com/mediaplayer.swf' name='movie' /><param value='always' name='allowScriptAcess' /><param value='transparent' name='wmode' /><param value='best' name='quality' /><param value='#000000' name='bgcolor' /><param value='noScale' name='scale' /><param value='TL' name='salign' /><param value='file=http://www.wset.com/news/stories/0908/552378.xml' name='FlashVars' /></object>

The position as of 11:00 pm was near or over the Turks and Caicos Islands. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/070247.shtml?

According to wikipedia, Bertha made landfall on July 12, 1996 and Fran struck on September 5, 1996. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Bertha_(1996), http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Fran

One person was arrested for looting on Sunday night.
http://995fm.com/cc-common/news/sections/newsarticle.html?feed=135361&article=4175068

I am waiting for the spike on the Texas option.

@newswrangler - We discussed in comment 3 that a ban would have to be passed into law before July 25, 2009.

Maui County, Hawaii, recently banned plastic bags. http://www.bizjournals.com/pacific/stories/2008/08/18/daily62.html I am flagging this market to see if counties will count.

San Diego and San Antonio are considering bans.
http://www.washtimes.com/news/2008/aug/18/tempest-in-a-tote/

At the rate that we are going, I would be surprised if we get any.

McCain is expected to introduce his running mate at 11:00 am tomorrow. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=anbNIqYzthOA&refer=us

Clarification: Only Atlantic basin tropical depressions will count.

I flagged this market. We need an option for 3 senators tried for bigger seats in case McCain selects a non-senator to be his vice president.

I flagged the market. I made a mistake in the original settlement request. France won a gold medal in both BMX and mountain biking.

China swept the women's table tennis singles

I get the same 3o events that Jenni gets. The official results for the 10k swims, http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/SW/C73C/SWM119101.shtml#SWM119101 http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/SW/C73C/SWW119101.shtml#SWW119101, don't indicate that an Olympic record was set.

Here is a related market: http://www.hubdub.com/m14086/Will_any_of_the_Chinese_gymnasts_be_stripped_of_their_medals

When I made my prediction, the next screen said 'NATO cleans up at the Olympics' even though that option I selected said 'NATO earns most medals.' Is that something that you set up?

It looks like Bangladesh will not win a medal. According to wikipedia, their population is about 150 million.

What happens if there is a tie?

@mrperfkt:

I think that we make be looking at different websites. When I look at the website, I see the words, 'Records - Swimming As of Aug 7 2008.' Does anybody else see that?

@cognos, the record you are referring to is the 100-meter freestyle set during the 4x100 meter freestyle relay on August 11. This record was broken three other times. Interestingly enough, Sullivan broke that record during the 100-meter freestyle event on August 14.

I have not been able to find any evidence of the British woman's record. Do you have any idea which one she set?

I have flagged this market. The settlement link http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/REC/SW.shtml lists 32 Olympic records as of August 7, which is one day before the Beijing games. This link lists 30 Olympic records set during the Beijing games http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/SW/C81B/SW0000000.shtml#SWW119101.

Russia swept the women's tennis singles competition.

In the event that a coach is the flag bearer, this should settle as 'Other choice.'

1992: Peter Westbrook was the flag-bearer. He did not win a medal in 1992. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Westbrook

The US flag bearer is not normally the athlete with the most gold medals. The honor is often given to someone with a human interest story (1996 Michael R Matz) or someone at the end of their career (Gardner and Hamm). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_R._Matz.

Can we get clarification on the following: Does the number of countries include the US?

The medley relay starts with the backstroke, not the breaststroke. Therefore, at least two records are out: men's 400 meter freestyle and women's 100 meter butterfly

At least 20 records have been set.

http://www.nbcolympics.com/judo/news/newsid=213398.html#first+ever+gold+mongolia

clarification: Since there are no old Olympic records for the 10k swims, I would assume that these two events do not count. Am I correct?

3 is women's 400 meter IM

5. women's 100 meter backstroke http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWW041900/index.html

6. women's 100 meter breaststroke http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWW031900/index.html

7. men's 100 meter backstroke http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWM041900/index.html

8. women's 400 meter freestyle http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWW014900/index.html

9. men's 4x100 meter relay http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWM411900/index.html

3. women's 400 meter freestyle http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWW054100/index.html

4. women's 4x100 meter relay
http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWW411100/index.html

Alexander Dale Oen broke the 100 meter breaststroke record. This is the second record broken. http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWM031900/index.html

The men's 400 meter IM record was broken. http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/news/newsid=186643.html#record+start+phelps

@noteablenotices:

I meant that police cannot prevent a crime, because no one can call 911.

I am asking what his sentence will be. If he only receives probation, fine, etc., the market settles as 'No jail time.'

We need a parental guidance warning on the video.

If one of the climbers went back to make a rescue, do they count towards this market?

Based on this article, http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/2/story.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=10525143, I would say that the market should be interpreted, 'How many climbers who attempted to reach the top, not including rescuers, will not descend alive?'

I determined the starting percentages based on nine presumed dead and three missing.

@newswrangler: Do the nine deaths include the two who died on the way up?

I intended this market to refer to the 22 climbers who summitted, not any rescuers.

AFP says only 7 climbers are confirmed dead. However, they say that five climbers are still missing.

http://www.thetimes.co.za/News/Article.aspx?id=814585

Congratulations, krujis. It looks like the cat was a savannah cat.

Why does Angola have such a high starting percentage?

I have flagged this market for the following reason:

After reading the background, it appears that the words "all games" should be removed from the question.

If I remember right, the national anthem of each medalling nation is played, not just the gold medalist's nation.

The ban would not need to take effect, only be passed into law.

Also, charging for plastic bags does not constitue a ban.

I have flagged this question. According to NASA's launch schedule, there are no targeted shuttle launches between July 1 and August 31. http://www.nasa.gov/missions/highlights/schedule.html

I don't think that Cheney has the authority to mobilize forces.

I have flagged this market for this reason:

Request that this market be re-opened. This article states that the girl is only under the court's guardianship temporarily. http://www.upi.com/Odd_News/2008/07/24/Judge_Girls_name_a_social_disability/UPI-52971216927226/

What happens if the same city wins two or more championships? How is this market settled?

The Padres and Astros have not won the World Series either.

Obama is 6'1" http://www.celebheights.com/s/Barack-Obama-4695.html, McCain is 5'6" http://cbs5.com/campaign08/john.mccain.health.2.731119.html. According to this picture, Roberts is slightly shorter than George W Bush's 5'11, http://www.celebheights.com/s/George-W-Bush-467.html. Michelle Obama is 5'11" http://www.suntimes.com/news/metro/221458,CST-NWS-mich21.article.

Here is a list of presidential pets: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Presidential_pets. It appears that McKinley was the last president without either a dog or cat.

@valornhonor: Does the President have to buy or adopt after being inaugurated?

If I remember right, the Clintons had Socks when they moved into the White House, but adopted Buddy during Bill's presidency.

Tropical Storm Bertha formed between 5:00 and 11:00 EDT on July 3. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al02/al022008.public.002.shtml?

The only reference to the May, 2008 event were from the WCBO website. However, they do not say that it ever happened.

The following ESPN article, http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/eticket/story?page=chessboxing, says that a match would be held in either New York or Los Angeles in early 2007.

FYI: Front row seats for the championship in Berlin cost 60 Euros. If you wanted a glass of champagne with your seat, it cost 120 Euros.

This must refer to a televised match.

@valornhonor,

If we re-open this market, should we re-word the question to 'registered US voters?' It is my understanding that US citizens 18 years or older are eligible voters. However, only those voters who have registered can actually vote.

How many of the 3300 or so Hubdubbers at H$1,000 or less have abandoned their accounts?

I would predict that most active Hubdubbers have at least H$2,000.

Of course, a lot of Americans have abandoned their voting rights.

This market has been flagged for the following reason.

This market could not be definitively settled before 11:00 EDT.

As of 11:00 EDT, this storm was still referred to as Tropical Depression 3: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al03/al032008.public.003.shtml? When the depression formed, there was still the possibility that it could "lose tropical characteristics" before it became a tropical storm, it could become Tropical Storm Cristobal or another system could strengthen to tropical storm status earlier in which case that storm would become Cristobal.

Charges against Cara Murphy, Stephen Schumaker and Zachary Ashley have been dropped. http://www.wesh.com/news/16602778/detail.html

@admins

The opening sentence should read, "Nine British women face ...'

I have created a new market here: http://www.hubdub.com/m11537/Will_an_initiative_to_create_an_Extraterrestrial_Affairs_Commission_be_on_the_Denver_ballot_in_2009

@valornhonor

To settle as the last option, there is no margin. We may need to rework this market if the Hubdub winner gets that extra half-vote.

@ admins

Will you be able to determine all the undecided Hubdub races? If not, we may need to adjust the last option to +/- 0.5 electoral votes.

How about using this list for settlement: http://www.the-numbers.com/market/movies2008.php

@lesley, thanks for the clarification.

For what it's worth, here is the latest statement from the Zambian government (in English): http://www.statehouse.gov.zm/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=404&Itemid=47. They say he is still alive. A report that the president has died: http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/World-News/Zambian-President-Levy-Mwanawasa-A-Key-Critic-Of-Robert-Mugabe-Reported-Dead-In-Paris-Hospital/Article/200807115023302?lpos=World%2BNews_6&lid=ARTICLE_15023302_Zambian%2BPresident%2BLevy%2BMwanawasa%252C%2BA%2BKey%2BCritic%2BOf%2BRobert%2BMugabe%252C%2BReported%2BDead%2BIn%2BParis%2BHospital. Also, South Africa's president has apologized for offering his condolences.

Another good article: http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=84&art_id=nw20080703180911345C945113

If Tufo is seen by July 11, this market will settle as either 'Reported alive' or 'Dead body recovered.' If he is not seen by July 11, the market will settle as 'Presumed dead, no body recovered,' if appropriate. If none of these options are accurate, the market settles as 'Other outcome or rescue mission still outgoing.'

According to wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Search_and_rescue and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rescue, rescue describes an operation that saves life or prevents injury. Recovery refers to a deceased person. So, a rescue mission would not target a dead person.

If Bertha only makes landfall outside the USA, will this market be settled as 'Does not make landfall?'

It is my understanding that a rescue mission becomes a recovery mission when the missing person is presumed dead.

My reason for the settlement comment was in case the recovery mission recovered the body after/if Tufo was presumed dead.

My feeling is that if the court orders Sanders to pay it is considered a fine

Just to clarify. Any fine or any prison sentence will cause settlement to be one of the first three options. He does not need to receive the maximum.

I opened a discussion on get satisfaction related to this market. Its address is http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/re_opening_voided_questions

I have flagged this market. The administrator may amend the suspend date/time if circumstances change.

That works. I see no definition of the word "between" in the good question rules.

If he died on July 3, this market will settle as "President dies between July 3 and August 31."

391 at 9:07 pm EDT Thursday http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?cat=sport&page=20&sort=1&who=all

Read with caution: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_XXXVIII_halftime_show_controversy

Justin Timberlake is announcing the best sports moment of 2008? Wasn't he involved in the infamous Super Bowl halftime show a few years ago?

Everything I have read indicates that the dolphins are traveling as a family. Dolphins are like humans in many ways. Humans do not leave sick family members behind. It does not seem valid that there is a 1 percent or higher chance that the dolphins split unless there is a death.

I think we are getting picky on the wording. (Remember that we only have 50 characters for each option.)

My reasoning for giving the options was as follows: The last two options cannot interfere with the first two options. The first option seems pretty uncontroversial. For option two, if the last dolphin requires human aid to return to the ocean, they all return to the ocean and human aid is used to do it.

If all other dolphins return without human aid, it settles as 'Human aid required to return all dolphins to the ocean. If one or more dolphins die before reaching the ocean, the market settles as 'At least one dolphin dies.' Exact option depends on how the first dolphin dies.

330 http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?cat=sport&page=17&sort=1&who=all

http://www.nbcolympics.com/trackandfield/news/newsid=143436.html#run+like+wind

I flagged this market, because the Dodgers-Angels game does not qualify as a no-hitter. The reason is that the Dodgers did not have to bat in the ninth inning. A team must be no-hit for nine innings to be a no-hitter.

Of course, the last option does not include a dolphin dying after it returns to the ocean.

641 at 5:10 pm PDT. http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?cat=politics&page=33&sort=1&who=all

634 on Saturday 1:11 GMT http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?cat=politics&page=32&sort=1&who=all

http://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=5200845&page=1

I am watching this market. Many sources are reporting that they have not been rescued yet. http://www.adn.com/news/alaska/story/440111.html

615 on Wednesday 20:47 GMT http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?cat=politics&page=31&sort=1&who=all

Walk out will also include driving their car.

She is sceduled to be released on Thursday. That must be a bummer for anyone who said yes.

597. http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?cat=politics&page=30&sort=1&who=all

@cognos
If Duke wins the ACC football Championship, I would be very surprised.

This market will not automatically be settled as 'rescue mission' if a rescue mission is launched. The rescue mission must find Sunderland or he must be ruled missing or dead.

Will these markets be suspended for the entire season?

Miami, Florida State and Maryland are all listed as Other team.

I have flagged this market, because it does not include 'Cabinet member' and 'Giving the Democrat's response to President McCain's SUA.'

It looks like about 600 people were in the stadium. http://mlb.mlb.com/media/video.jsp?mid=200806092878787

Of course the article says she wants to go to DisneyLAND, not DisneyWORLD.

Will this be settled via the Spitzer rule?

I am going to treat 'Former Soviet Union' as permanent members of the Commonwealth of Independent States: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Commonwealth_of_Independent_States&oldid=217592690

A tie between two regions can happen at 5-5-1 or 4-4-3. My reason for adding the 'or more' is that a duplicate gold medal could be awarded. I guess if a draw happens in the gold-medal match, both boxers would receive a gold medal.

So, if Nigel and a US gold medalist make the comment, how will this market settle?

I think Nigel lives in the UK, so he couldn't be a US gold medalist or the next elected president. That is why I suggested that he might be the World Series MVP.

It would have been news if they played on Jan 7.

If someone has dual citizenship (for example, British and Iraqi) and competes under the Union Jack, I consider them a British athlete.

assuming that Nigel is not the World Series MVP.

So if Nigel says he is going to Disney World, will this question be settled as "Any other outcome?"

How about June 7?

How about June 7?

The CNN article says that "she will make the announcement" on Saturday. Thus, according to the Spitzer rule, the settlement is based on June 7, because that is the day she will make the announcement. We have enough information to settle this market. However, the settlement should be based on the date of the announcement, not the date of an announcement about an announcement.

Imagine that she made the announcement on June 5 at 23:59, but CNN did not report that she made this announcement until June 6. In that case, we would settle based on June 5, not June 6.

If a reliable news source reports that he is on the ballot, will this settlement be overturned?

We may want to add that the pundit needs to create a regular account.

The problem is that we have a time constraint. The announcement came out before the deadline. However, it said that she will suspend her bid on June 7, which is after the deadline.

According to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Summer_Olympics_medal_count, three of the top 5 from 2004 had star(s) on their flags -- China, Australia and the USA. Russia and Germany have no stars on their flags. It looks like Cuba and Turkey have the next most medals among starry nations.

Can we change thee to three?

For those who are following, the market closed Friday at 12,278.

Maybe jennieandboys can tell us. She put H$1,000 on 1350 or less.

This is market 8000.

Can someone explain who these people are?

The link didn't work for me. Here is another one. http://www.monuc.org/news.aspx?newsID=17419

Mets lead 2 games to 0.

Baltimore leads the series 2 games to 1.

'in the,' not 'the the.'

If I understand this question correctly, it needs to be reworded. The presidential race is decided by the electoral vote, not the popular vote. I recommend, 'What will be the popular vote margin the the 2008 US Presidential election?'

This market should be settled as no if the boycott does not last past the next day of Parliament.

How would this market be settled as no?

There are now 1510 active markets.

I feel that this is a newsworthy issue, not "another stock market question." The link that I provided in the discussion should prove that.

Here is the BBC's link to the KSE: http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/fds/hi/business/market_data/stockmarket/11745/default.stm.

The last choice should be 'More than 13,019.44.'

Do these markets count banned users? I suspect that when a user is banned, their number is not assigned to someone else.

How about changing Can to Will?

Can we change the suspension date?

There were about 287 markets created in the last week. http://www.hubdub.com/p/MarketList?period=1day&cat=all&page=29&sort=rdate. The big question is how many Hubdubbers created 5 or more of those markets.

I would guess that the vast majority of markets that are created are short-term markets. Examples are "Who will win tonight's game between teams A and B" and "What will the value of the Dow be?" These markets get created and settled frequently.

I believe that long-term markets are going to decide this market. A good example of a long-term market is "Who will become the next president?" Many of these long-term markets are very similar. When a major news event occurs that allows the settlement of a long-term market, several markets will be settled.

The user(s) who predicted "less than 1350" may be banking on a major news event occurring. However, I think that this logic is incorrect. If you do a search on cyclone or earthquake, you will probably notice that there are a number of markets created after the recent disasters.

My feeling is that the open market total will inch up as more user accounts are created. The new users will have different ideas and will create new markets. When I created this market, my thought was "How fast will the total inch up?"

Of course, summer vacation is coming up in the Northern Hemisphere, where most Hubdubbers live. Another factor that goes into this market is how many of the top market creators will go on hiatus during the next two weeks and will anyone pick up their slack.

Just my H$0.02.

It sound like there should be a question asking, "Will he be out of the hospital?"

This is a web page for the case. http://www.myfoxtampabay.com/myfox/pages/Home/Detail;jsessionid=8DCA40C86272BC30CE5E8AE218D466EB?contentId=6333517&version=13&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=TSTY&pageId=1.1.1&sflg=1

There is some news on four of the defendants: http://www.theledger.com/article/20080509/BREAKING/72857994
http://www2.tbo.com/content/2008/apr/19/me-beating-suspects-ex-beau-got-injunction/?news-breaking

This is the same information. One is confirmed. I saw a tornado report from April 28 here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/akq/wx_events/severe/april28_2008/april28_2008.html. We made need to wait for a similar report in order to settle the question.

This site lists five candidates. I am not sure if the Franklin and Henry Counties tornado is listed here. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/akq/lsr/index.php?wfo=akq

Two have already been confirmed. One in Stafford County. One in Franklin and Henry Counties. One unconfirmed in Triangle. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24546063/

I think that the starting percentages are incorrect.

Why has this been suspended?

Let's suspend it.