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valornhonor has 79 friends
Stats
Performance this quarter
- Gain:
-7,669 - Leaderboard: #4763
- Best category: Entertainment (#27)
- Worst category: Politics (#3123)
Some numbers updated hourly
Questions created
H$145,676
H$76,263
valornhonor
Net worth: H$48,876
Predictions made: 2104
from United States. Member since Thu 1st May
Latest activity
1 hour ago
valornhonor completed
jenniandboys
's challenge to predict 3rd Presidential Debate - 10/15 - Margin of Victory by CNN polling (Extended Suspend)
Predicted: Near tie +/- 10 percent (
33 at 15.00%)
33 at 15.00%)1 hour ago
valornhonor predicted No (H$666 at 29%) on Will Obama reach 270 points or more on the CNN electoral map before Monday, Oct 13?
1 hour ago
valornhonor predicted DJIA will close at or below 8,000.00 (H$1,000 at 22%) on Where will the DJIA close on Friday, October 10, 2008?
1 hour ago
valornhonor predicted DJIA will close at or below 8,000.00 (H$1,000 at 22%) on Where will the DJIA close on Friday, October 10, 2008?
1 day ago
valornhonor predicted Obama leads by 3 or 4 points (H$500 at 4%) on What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?
1 day ago
valornhonor completed
nigeleccles
's challenge to predict Will the US government take ownership stakes in major banks by end of 2008?
Predicted: Yes (
20 at 68.78%)
20 at 68.78%)2 days ago
valornhonor predicted No (H$786 at 73%) on Will either Senator McCain or Obama be seeing wearing a plastic wrist band before 11/4/08?
2 days ago
valornhonor predicted Any college, except ones that have Pres. library (H$50 at 2%) on Where will the first face-to-face Town Hall style Obama/McCain debate take place?
2 days ago
valornhonor predicted John McCain (H$500 at 14%) on Who will win the popular vote amongst female voters in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election?
Shouts
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197
mork![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
I feel you for ya pal. Sometimes it like all the shit has to hit at once. I know the feeling. You're good people Adam. That's how I know things will work out.
193
randburg
I'll keep you in my prayers and thoughts. God keep you and your family safe. Keep thinking about the job you want and think about it as "the job you already have". It will come to you. Just keep thinking about it as if you already have it...and it will come to you...(inbetween you are doing your part to find it, of course)...We are all pulling for you!
I didn't know you were in Houston...I'm in Dallas...
I didn't know you were in Houston...I'm in Dallas...
Hello everyone, this morning I'm back online, first time in 12 days due to Hurricane Ike! Amazing the number and size of the trees all over Houston that crashed down!
191
randburg
I haven't seen you around hubdub recently. Are you ok? Hubdub is not the same without you. How is the job hunt? How are the kids? Consider yourself missed...!
190
fingers_of_fury
We miss you! I don't know if that storm was near you or not, but I hope y'all survived it.
See you later,
FoF
See you later,
FoF
188
dieseldog
i got the palin's kids on SS list challenge 3 times. no big deal just letting you know in case theres a bug in the system. maybe mrs. vh was "distracting" you and you hit the "button" 3 times :O)
187
fingers_of_fury
A Freeper quote, before the Palin VP announcement:
all she’d have to say is...
“I may not know the price of arugula at Whole Foods, but I do know the price of diapers at Costco.”
Election won.
all she’d have to say is...
“I may not know the price of arugula at Whole Foods, but I do know the price of diapers at Costco.”
Election won.
Valornhonor -- I think I understand the sentiment of your message, and I don't disagree with your view on the timing of it...
My sense of that sentiment is that it's like sending someone a birthday card -- better for it to arrive a day early, then have it be received a day late. And perhaps what I was saying seemed like "it either has to arrive at the exact time of their birth anniversary, or it's imperfect".
In fact, my comment was apolitical. I'm a big fan of (have a keen awareness of, and appreciation for) "single event commercials" as an advertising strategy -- and my comments, while made about a political example, were based in the, perhaps less volatile, advertising context.
These days ;-) there are fewer (and fewer) single-event commercials then in days gone by. And I understand many of the reasons why... and, at the same time, it makes those commercials that are made for a single event all the more outstanding (to me).
Probably the best one I've seen over the past year, is the 60-second commercial Coca Cola made expressly for the Macy's Day Parade! Maybe you've seen it -- it's in the "Emmy Award for Outstanding Commercial" question I made here on Hubdub.
So, the "comment I didn't make" within my comment ;-) was ... "imagine what the reaction would have been, had Obama completed his acceptance speech, and the commercial networks immediately aired John McCain's 'Congratulations Commercial' ! What would the buzz have been then amongst the pundits!"
I don't pay the bills -- nor do I know if such a strategy is "a good one" or if an embargo on secrecy is possible anymore to effect such a presentation -- but that was the sentiment behind my comment.
Thanks for taking the time to let me know how you felt!
My sense of that sentiment is that it's like sending someone a birthday card -- better for it to arrive a day early, then have it be received a day late. And perhaps what I was saying seemed like "it either has to arrive at the exact time of their birth anniversary, or it's imperfect".
In fact, my comment was apolitical. I'm a big fan of (have a keen awareness of, and appreciation for) "single event commercials" as an advertising strategy -- and my comments, while made about a political example, were based in the, perhaps less volatile, advertising context.
These days ;-) there are fewer (and fewer) single-event commercials then in days gone by. And I understand many of the reasons why... and, at the same time, it makes those commercials that are made for a single event all the more outstanding (to me).
Probably the best one I've seen over the past year, is the 60-second commercial Coca Cola made expressly for the Macy's Day Parade! Maybe you've seen it -- it's in the "Emmy Award for Outstanding Commercial" question I made here on Hubdub.
So, the "comment I didn't make" within my comment ;-) was ... "imagine what the reaction would have been, had Obama completed his acceptance speech, and the commercial networks immediately aired John McCain's 'Congratulations Commercial' ! What would the buzz have been then amongst the pundits!"
I don't pay the bills -- nor do I know if such a strategy is "a good one" or if an embargo on secrecy is possible anymore to effect such a presentation -- but that was the sentiment behind my comment.
Thanks for taking the time to let me know how you felt!
184
randburg
Also, I read somewhere today that you might have a JOB LEAD!!!!! I'm sending you good positive thoughts to aid you on your way...
Good Luck. bREAK a lEG!! and my favorite Italian dialect wish:
IN BOCCA A'LUPO! (Between now and the next time I talk with you, you must go through the mouth of the wolf and back, and it wishes you good fortune on a harrowing journey).
The proper reply is: CREPA! (drop dead).
So:
IN BOCCA A'LUPO!
Good Luck. bREAK a lEG!! and my favorite Italian dialect wish:
IN BOCCA A'LUPO! (Between now and the next time I talk with you, you must go through the mouth of the wolf and back, and it wishes you good fortune on a harrowing journey).
The proper reply is: CREPA! (drop dead).
So:
IN BOCCA A'LUPO!
183
randburg
"Maybe Hurricane Fay hit D's keyboard and now every time it's used it results in Voids."
Wow! "Kinda"...While the real work is in your art of making great questions, it also takes some work to get your bets set up just right...AND THEN...BAM! -- Fay pees on your predictions again...
Wow! "Kinda"...While the real work is in your art of making great questions, it also takes some work to get your bets set up just right...AND THEN...BAM! -- Fay pees on your predictions again...
182
fingers_of_fury
V&H, a job lead - AWESOME! Any company would be lucky to have you on their team :-)
Hi -- I wanted you to know about a change in the Suspend Time for a question you made predictions on -- in case you want to make any change to your predictions, etc.
Please see the comment in:
<http://www.hubdub.com/m14491/Will_the_Roll_Call_Vote_for_Hillary_Clinton_End_With_the_New_York_Delegation>
Please see the comment in:
<http://www.hubdub.com/m14491/Will_the_Roll_Call_Vote_for_Hillary_Clinton_End_With_the_New_York_Delegation>
178
dieseldog
don't know how private this is (shouting out) but i think destry and f-o-f have a little feud going on. he voided f-o-f's question on the grounds it was to complicated to settle. then he voided markc's on a totally inconsistent reason. i agree 100% acting like a punk shouldn't get rewarded-get ya your way. thats why i made it clear i wasn't defending his actions..just the question. i'll wait till i see destry's response's so i don't over react. i hope things work at well. one thing for sure i'll do my best not to act like markc. have a nice day.
176
randburg
Hey Adam!
Considering the Obama Biden split, McCain's running mate should either be in diapers or older than Moses...then again, Moses started as the bible's most famous "basket case"...
Is it really too late to have more Olympics questions...??
Considering the Obama Biden split, McCain's running mate should either be in diapers or older than Moses...then again, Moses started as the bible's most famous "basket case"...
Is it really too late to have more Olympics questions...??
175
Erik
I appreciate the challenge, but I must decline. I’ve really lost interest here. I will be spending little time here in the foreseeable future.
Regards,
Erik
Regards,
Erik
174
fingers_of_fury
heehhee
I'm down a few thousand since your comment... so I'm safe for now!!!
hey f_o_f if you loose $33HD today, or gain $633, I may have to defriend you..
I'm down a few thousand since your comment... so I'm safe for now!!!
hey f_o_f if you loose $33HD today, or gain $633, I may have to defriend you..
172
fingers_of_fury
hahhaaaheeehheee! Give Matthew, Luke & John a 'thanks' from me for the heads-up!!! lol
sry didn't get back sooner.
Click the "flag question" link, then, provide info for the flag, check the 'suspend' checkbox, and submit.
Click the "flag question" link, then, provide info for the flag, check the 'suspend' checkbox, and submit.
170
fingers_of_fury
Hey v&h... glad you're back!
Ignore comment #169... I was having some fun hassling him by giving him a "thanks" on all the questions in which he advised users on how to "flag" questions... after giving him about a dozen "thanks" I then did it on some of my friends profiles... I was in a silly mood.
Ignore comment #169... I was having some fun hassling him by giving him a "thanks" on all the questions in which he advised users on how to "flag" questions... after giving him about a dozen "thanks" I then did it on some of my friends profiles... I was in a silly mood.
Stay safe - I keep looking at the news about Edouard & hoping there is no major damage. I've got a lot of respect for weather... (I have only been in one hurricane, so most of my experience has been from observing what is reported in the news, from a safe distance).
165
addicus
Gad to see you and a few others keeping hubdub on its feet with the questions.
Keep um coming!! :)
Keep um coming!! :)
I was wondering why you've been so quiet. Lemme go check out the site and I'll try to figure out what's going on. Will email you separately.
Have you been receiving our hubdubsuperscateds emails? You never responded to the discussion about your market?
I'll ask your indulgence for my spate of crankiness today, could be the hurricane bearing down on me, or the fact I've been out of a job for two months, or the fact that so many of my markets seem to get nitpicked to death. Bottom line, if there was not differences of opinion or passion about these various items we're all wagering on, then there wouldn't be anything interesting here.
have a nice day
V&H
ar'ep
have a nice day
V&H
ar'ep
161
fingers_of_fury
Yeah, lately it seems 'you-know-who' suspends by default. Suspend now, ask questions later. Hopefully the sports category editor approves it.
It's a cool question and I look forward to seeing how all that nonsense plays out at the games. If I lived in a communistic county I would be a nervous wreck!!!
It's a cool question and I look forward to seeing how all that nonsense plays out at the games. If I lived in a communistic county I would be a nervous wreck!!!
Nice - I should have guessed that you would use skills like that for your job. They are very effective :-)
Question on your airline water market...do you mind if I set the suspension date to midnight Sunday before Labor Day...I've got a feeling that someone else will charge for water and it'll be settled well before then, but just to avoid any last minute wagers after it should have been suspended, it might be best to suspend it at some point before Labor Day itself...just a thought, let me know what you think about it.
Thanks
Thanks
That is a brilliant way to put it! I should have done something like that when I created the question.
Thanks for the insight.
Thanks for the insight.
Sure, here are some links that I found:
http://www.enterstageright.com/archive/articles/0708/0708unbarack.htm
http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=s110-2433
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/PhyllisSchlafly/2008/02/25/congress_contemplates_giving_cash_to_foreigners
http://www.ibdeditorials.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=302222641317480
hope they help!
D
http://www.enterstageright.com/archive/articles/0708/0708unbarack.htm
http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=s110-2433
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/PhyllisSchlafly/2008/02/25/congress_contemplates_giving_cash_to_foreigners
http://www.ibdeditorials.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=302222641317480
hope they help!
D
Hey Adam.
In response to what you were saying about this question...
http://www.hubdub.com/m7005/Of_the_35_competing_national_teams_within_the_North_Central_American__Caribbean_Continental_Zone_trying_to_get_to_the_2010_World_Cup_in_South_Africa_that_have_red_white_and_blue_prominentaly_in_their_flags_how_many_will_make_it_to_the_qualifying_round
I was simply responding to a flag and user who was asking for clarification about what the "qualifying round" meant. It looks like you are on track, so it might be helpful to either copy and paste an explanation or a brief comment.
Thanks a lot!
Mark
In response to what you were saying about this question...
http://www.hubdub.com/m7005/Of_the_35_competing_national_teams_within_the_North_Central_American__Caribbean_Continental_Zone_trying_to_get_to_the_2010_World_Cup_in_South_Africa_that_have_red_white_and_blue_prominentaly_in_their_flags_how_many_will_make_it_to_the_qualifying_round
I was simply responding to a flag and user who was asking for clarification about what the "qualifying round" meant. It looks like you are on track, so it might be helpful to either copy and paste an explanation or a brief comment.
Thanks a lot!
Mark
Thanks Adam.
"Congratulations on having both an "A" and an "S" next to your name now". All I need is one more "S".
"Congratulations on having both an "A" and an "S" next to your name now". All I need is one more "S".
Thanks so much...I'm really looking forward to working witheveryone...and you are one of the best at coming up with new original stuff...
You could ask when will they break 0.5 million uniques as measured by Compete.com. I think it is 50/50 on whether they could do it within 6 months. Here are some comparables: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/powerset.com+mahalo.com+cuil.com/?metric=uv
Sorry, my challenge wasn't all that clear. I meant that Leeds lost in the semis, so they can't possibly win :)
Nice sleuthing, my friend :) No coincidence at all, NewsFutures was a site I played to get the hang of prediction markets, before we launched Hubdub. I don't go there often any more, but was perusing the other day and thought the market was interesting. There's quite a bit of market sharing that goes on from other sites, but in my totally unbiased opinion, Hubdub totally kicks NewsFutures in terms of interesting markets ...
143
fingers_of_fury
This question re-opened: http://www.hubdub.com/m12087/Which_Happens_First_in_August__Obama_Walks_on_Water_or_Bush_Walks_With_Fire
I hope this question works out ok. I would love to hear your thoughts/suggestions if you have anything you would like to add.
I hope this question works out ok. I would love to hear your thoughts/suggestions if you have anything you would like to add.
Thanks for pointing that out. Just been cleaning up all the URLs for the listings pages, and I guess I didn't test it properly for the front page.
141
fingers_of_fury
Wow!!! Lots of GREAT ideas... Thank You! Maybe I'll create another one or two questions on this subject with your suggestions.
Before reading your suggestions, I resubmitted a new version here:
http://www.hubdub.com/m12097/CAMECOCCJ_Buys_3500_Barrels_Iraq_Yellowcake__Is_Saddams_yellowcake_safe_in_Montreal
Before reading your suggestions, I resubmitted a new version here:
http://www.hubdub.com/m12097/CAMECOCCJ_Buys_3500_Barrels_Iraq_Yellowcake__Is_Saddams_yellowcake_safe_in_Montreal
Aw nuts. It's too good of an issue to not somehow be used...
Perhaps something like, "Will there be a news report of the transfer of X amount of yellowcake crossing an ocean or international border before Y time?" In this case the X would be an amount larger than Cameco's and the Y would be the anniversay of the original story.
Or...Will the world record for the largest split yellow cake be broken during 2008? and try to find the world record for the largest cake (baked good) and make a comparison to this "yellow cake" that was split up.
Or...Will any reports of a sailor becoming ill from radiation poisoning on the ship that transported the yellow cake be reported?
Or...Will Iraq offer a plausible explanation of what they'd intended to do with all of their yellow cake? World's largest tea party?
Thanks for the suggestion... I'm still thinking but not coming up with much. I like your idea, but the rule "questions concerning individual stock prices are not currently permitted on HD" would probably include "Stock beat 5 yr high in 2008?"
If you think of anything else I would be grateful for your help!
Here's why it was voided:
2.3.4 Business Category
* Questions can be made about the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite Index. Questions on any other indices are not currently permitted. Questions should not be made about the performance of individual stocks.
Perhaps something like, "Will there be a news report of the transfer of X amount of yellowcake crossing an ocean or international border before Y time?" In this case the X would be an amount larger than Cameco's and the Y would be the anniversay of the original story.
Or...Will the world record for the largest split yellow cake be broken during 2008? and try to find the world record for the largest cake (baked good) and make a comparison to this "yellow cake" that was split up.
Or...Will any reports of a sailor becoming ill from radiation poisoning on the ship that transported the yellow cake be reported?
Or...Will Iraq offer a plausible explanation of what they'd intended to do with all of their yellow cake? World's largest tea party?
Thanks for the suggestion... I'm still thinking but not coming up with much. I like your idea, but the rule "questions concerning individual stock prices are not currently permitted on HD" would probably include "Stock beat 5 yr high in 2008?"
If you think of anything else I would be grateful for your help!
Here's why it was voided:
2.3.4 Business Category
* Questions can be made about the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite Index. Questions on any other indices are not currently permitted. Questions should not be made about the performance of individual stocks.
139
fingers_of_fury
Thanks for the suggestion... I'm still thinking but not coming up with much. I like your idea, but the rule "questions concerning individual stock prices are not currently permitted on HD" would probably include "Stock beat 5 yr high in 2008?"
If you think of anything else I would be grateful for your help!
Here's why it was voided:
2.3.4 Business Category
* Questions can be made about the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite Index. Questions on any other indices are not currently permitted. Questions should not be made about the performance of individual stocks.
If you think of anything else I would be grateful for your help!
Here's why it was voided:
2.3.4 Business Category
* Questions can be made about the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite Index. Questions on any other indices are not currently permitted. Questions should not be made about the performance of individual stocks.
138
fingers_of_fury
Thanks for the encouragement... I'll think about alternate ways to rephrase the question...
Where the number is "14 diggs" there is a little "digg it" under that. That's what you want to click on. It will then become "dugg"
I saw your digg comment, but you didn't actually digg it?
The multiple bets are so you can cash some out. If I have a position I believe in that won't close for a while, I might make 3-4 bets with the intention of letting one or two of them go to settlement and the others will be cashed out at when either 1) I need the money back or 2) I think I've made a good return on my investment.
The multiple bets are so you can cash some out. If I have a position I believe in that won't close for a while, I might make 3-4 bets with the intention of letting one or two of them go to settlement and the others will be cashed out at when either 1) I need the money back or 2) I think I've made a good return on my investment.
Jenn,
Thanks, I have 10K on TDK personally to win, not slight on Obama, just trying to make and educated guess, and seeing how hammered my wife's theatre, and frankly all the theatres have been is perhaps clouding my judgement, either way both of these; The Dark Knight, and the Obama campaign are pushing huge stacks of cash, to me I find these comparative types of markets much more interesting. I do have a digg account also. If you don't mind me asking, I've noticed that both you and your husband frequently make multiple identical bets on a markets at the same time, sometime two or three in a row, I realize there must be some rationale for that, but perhaps I'm just too dense to see it. Do you mind enlightening me? Just curious.
Thanks, I have 10K on TDK personally to win, not slight on Obama, just trying to make and educated guess, and seeing how hammered my wife's theatre, and frankly all the theatres have been is perhaps clouding my judgement, either way both of these; The Dark Knight, and the Obama campaign are pushing huge stacks of cash, to me I find these comparative types of markets much more interesting. I do have a digg account also. If you don't mind me asking, I've noticed that both you and your husband frequently make multiple identical bets on a markets at the same time, sometime two or three in a row, I realize there must be some rationale for that, but perhaps I'm just too dense to see it. Do you mind enlightening me? Just curious.
Actually those 3x1000 were my third set of bets on that market. I think I have over 10,000 now. Will likely put in more once the other movie questions from this weekend pay out.
The digg count is going up on that Q. If you don't have a digg account, you should get one so you can digg it up. Its a good one to promote as it has the words Batman AND Obama in the title.. if we can just add Linux in somehow, it would be a shoe in for the front page!
The digg count is going up on that Q. If you don't have a digg account, you should get one so you can digg it up. Its a good one to promote as it has the words Batman AND Obama in the title.. if we can just add Linux in somehow, it would be a shoe in for the front page!
131
fingers_of_fury
did you notice my evil comment on your Dark Knight vs Obama question?
"Some describe Obama as messiah and the Joker as devil.... scary, scary, I'm wagering evil prevails (or at least the lesser of the two evils)"
The context at the time of that comment was after you noticed a H$5k singly bid that I had placed on the Dark Knight... I was addressing the Joker as the lesser of the two evils!
HEE HEE ;-)
P.S. - FANTASTIC question by the way... H$98,036 activity in the first 36 hours! I wonder how many Hubdub records you'll be smashing with this question!!!
"Some describe Obama as messiah and the Joker as devil.... scary, scary, I'm wagering evil prevails (or at least the lesser of the two evils)"
The context at the time of that comment was after you noticed a H$5k singly bid that I had placed on the Dark Knight... I was addressing the Joker as the lesser of the two evils!
HEE HEE ;-)
P.S. - FANTASTIC question by the way... H$98,036 activity in the first 36 hours! I wonder how many Hubdub records you'll be smashing with this question!!!
130
gregmatta
Sorry. Not currently hiring. The status of the economy in our region has put a damper on everything. Good luck in your search.
Greg
Greg
no you're totally right - it's perezhilton who graffitis the photos but i should've checked more carefully this morning!
Hope you're having a nice weekend :-)
Hope you're having a nice weekend :-)
johnnywonton and tonyhogue are very new, and do not play as regular, but they are neighbors. I'll forward more as i recall who they are.
hey v&h, I've id'd about 8 hubdubbers from the Houston area at this point. not bad. .1% of the world of hubdub lives in the Houston area.
123
addicus
Why hello valor :), i appreciate the warm welcome and you can bet on some good Houston Texans questions coming from me this season :)
121
lucidstates
Cool beans man! I am so thankful for all your input and guidance of my Hollywood Q's :-D You see, I do not actually go to any movies. I don't earn much money and I also have a conscience problem with most, so I stay away from the theater for the most part. Not Hellboy 2 particularly, just in general, I see maybe 2 movies in theaters each year, but I used to go all the time and I do love the movie business, just allot of the content bothers me most the time.
Thanks again for looking out for my wealth-o-meter on Hubdub, LOL, I appreciate all the help I can get, hehe :-D
Say hello to your wife for me and THANK HER for all the money you and her have made me, even if it is virtual, LOL ;D
Thanks again for looking out for my wealth-o-meter on Hubdub, LOL, I appreciate all the help I can get, hehe :-D
Say hello to your wife for me and THANK HER for all the money you and her have made me, even if it is virtual, LOL ;D
120
lucidstates
THANKS super much for the heads up on Hellboy2 man!!! I am totally going to play on what you said :-D ... How were the graphics and the script overall?
sry to hear about the rif. been there. done that.
I live in the Buffalo Bayou area of houston. (near Westheimer and Gessner in SW Houston)
(more specifically the Woodlake Area)
I think you'd make an execellent addition to the HD team.
I'm developing some sophicated software that actually (physically) saves data centers a lot of energy. believe it, green software. we've completed the basic research phase and the product has been tested for energy consumption and savings. Now, we're in the development phase, trying to package the software for use by others.
When we get to the sales phase, i'd be happy to look you up. but for now, no sales positions. sry.
I live in the Buffalo Bayou area of houston. (near Westheimer and Gessner in SW Houston)
(more specifically the Woodlake Area)
I think you'd make an execellent addition to the HD team.
I'm developing some sophicated software that actually (physically) saves data centers a lot of energy. believe it, green software. we've completed the basic research phase and the product has been tested for energy consumption and savings. Now, we're in the development phase, trying to package the software for use by others.
When we get to the sales phase, i'd be happy to look you up. but for now, no sales positions. sry.
117
lucidstates
Umm, never looked at the leading role portion of that question, but I'm pretty sure several actors have topped the $1 and or $2 billion mark, examples: Harrison Ford (Star Wars + Indiana Jones + Jack Ryan series, etc,) Tom Cruise, etc.
But honestly, I am not sure as I do not know what exactly your question would be. But if you mean that $1billion based upon 10 straight $100 million, then Will Smith would be alone in that, IF he can garner 2 more $100 million+ films.
Tom Cruise I believe went 5 or 7 straight, then flunked, so Will Smith is the only one possible to hit 9 or 10, for the foreseeable future anyway.
I think that question would be good man :-D
But honestly, I am not sure as I do not know what exactly your question would be. But if you mean that $1billion based upon 10 straight $100 million, then Will Smith would be alone in that, IF he can garner 2 more $100 million+ films.
Tom Cruise I believe went 5 or 7 straight, then flunked, so Will Smith is the only one possible to hit 9 or 10, for the foreseeable future anyway.
I think that question would be good man :-D
Hey who's that handsome boy? Why that's none other than Adam Jr. as my new avatar! Last week I took some family pictures and this one came out so cute that the studio entered him into a contest. If you'd like to vote for my son please go to www.glamourshots.com, then click on 2008 Kids Summer Photo Contest, he is in the first group, the 0-1's. Either # 40 or search by name for Adam and you'll see him. I'm tempted to create a market about..."Whose the handsom-est baby?" But for obvious reasons I can't ha ha.
Regards, V&H
Regards, V&H
114
lucidstates
DUDE, check out this!!! http://israeltoday.co.il/default.aspx?tabid=178&nid=16549
Wooooooh! We are moving closer to the Lord's return! Maybe it won't happen for another 2k, but I doubt that, so I'm hopeful :-)
Wooooooh! We are moving closer to the Lord's return! Maybe it won't happen for another 2k, but I doubt that, so I'm hopeful :-)
112
lucidstates
I think it'll definitely do $75 - $100! I think that's a huge range, so it's quite certain in my opinion that it'll do that. ... BUT, what HP's competition that weekend?
111
lucidstates
Wow man, you bet against me for Next Weekend Hancock being under $15 mill? Hey mannnnnn :-P
I've read your comment on my myspace, and I'll respond today man ... But just to be clear, I do not see you all worldy, deceitful and evil sprezzatura. I simply saw the original meaning of the word as such, but as you've explained it, I totally AGREE with you and what you said men NEED to be in our country! We have too few fathers leading children, too few husbands leading wives, too few men that are of any value at all! I'm certainly no example and so this word sprezzatura is VERY convicting.
I gotta run, Mars Hill Church is where I meet on Sunday ... See you laters man.
I've read your comment on my myspace, and I'll respond today man ... But just to be clear, I do not see you all worldy, deceitful and evil sprezzatura. I simply saw the original meaning of the word as such, but as you've explained it, I totally AGREE with you and what you said men NEED to be in our country! We have too few fathers leading children, too few husbands leading wives, too few men that are of any value at all! I'm certainly no example and so this word sprezzatura is VERY convicting.
I gotta run, Mars Hill Church is where I meet on Sunday ... See you laters man.
110
lucidstates
Dude, thank you sooooo much for your moral support :-D I really do appreciate it! I guess you and I both are never immune to people getting pissed at us, no matter how well we make markets... My concern mostly lies in my opening odds, but no one complains about those, which makes me super happy, but of course, now that I've said it, they will, LOL ... SO thanks again and lets totally RULE the Q creating on this site :-D
As for Sprezzatura... VERY good word for the gentleman! I know of some movies and their actors who come to mind when I Wikipedia'd this word. Ever seen Scaramouche? Ralph Fiennes and David Niven also come to mind. Hehe, I actually used to study this art, I was a total ass and egotistical to no end, but honestly, I'd never heard this term until now. But the person it describes, I used to want to be, but now that the Lord saved me from my sin and has regenerated my heart, though I sin still, I no longer desire to be this type of man. I think some of the traits are stellar, however, the deceiving aspect of it and acting in total control of life, is just so not like Christ and He is who I must radiate, by His grace :-D
As for Sprezzatura... VERY good word for the gentleman! I know of some movies and their actors who come to mind when I Wikipedia'd this word. Ever seen Scaramouche? Ralph Fiennes and David Niven also come to mind. Hehe, I actually used to study this art, I was a total ass and egotistical to no end, but honestly, I'd never heard this term until now. But the person it describes, I used to want to be, but now that the Lord saved me from my sin and has regenerated my heart, though I sin still, I no longer desire to be this type of man. I think some of the traits are stellar, however, the deceiving aspect of it and acting in total control of life, is just so not like Christ and He is who I must radiate, by His grace :-D
109
lucidstates
Sprezzatura..... First thought, it sounds like a melted spatula on prescription drugs :-P Lol.
Now I shall look it up and report back to you soon .... ALSO, thanks for the Hancock heads up! I have $35,826 on $76+
Now I shall look it up and report back to you soon .... ALSO, thanks for the Hancock heads up! I have $35,826 on $76+
You've been busy with the questions! Good stuff! It's great to see such creative and original questions. Keep em coming!
107
lucidstates
Dude, by all means let me know ASAP :-D ... THe betting ends in like 5 hours, but I am going to bed in like 2-3, so yeah, if you can get your opinion to me before like 2am PST, that'd rock ... LOL, I know I know, I want a leg up on this bet, hahaha :-D
Hi,
Do you have the websites bookmarked to assist in settling this question?
<http://www.hubdub.com/m6888/Will_these_restaurants_combined_have_less_than_3728_locations_by_the_end_of_June>
I started looking, but got as far as Ihop -- and didn't see a "total" -- maybe it's all a manual calculation.
I thought I'd ask you in case you have the info at hand... if so, could you submit a "request settlement"?
Do you have the websites bookmarked to assist in settling this question?
<http://www.hubdub.com/m6888/Will_these_restaurants_combined_have_less_than_3728_locations_by_the_end_of_June>
I started looking, but got as far as Ihop -- and didn't see a "total" -- maybe it's all a manual calculation.
I thought I'd ask you in case you have the info at hand... if so, could you submit a "request settlement"?
Hancock will do the same numbers as I am legend plus 20 percent since it isnt scary and more super hero-ish. Dark Knight will do 100 million easyyyyyyyyyyyyyy.
So since I am legend made 256 million, Hancock will make 65 opening weekend million and in the long run will do about 290 million. Mrs. Johnson signing off for my hubby,
So since I am legend made 256 million, Hancock will make 65 opening weekend million and in the long run will do about 290 million. Mrs. Johnson signing off for my hubby,
101
lucidstates
Hey Adam man, Dude don't worry about the numbers :-D I bet on $17 mil or less close to the end to hedge my bets, so I didn't lose much in the end, WHEW! What a great race this was! I thoroughly enjoyed it, and also, look for Wall-E to have a MUCH better hold than Wanted, long term!
www.the-numbers.com are not official yet, it usually is made official around 5pm PST. SO check back around then. I hope to be back from work by then and I'll check then :-D
Thanks for all your support man! It's awesome having you as a guide in these movie markets! So please tell me what you and your wife think of Hancock and the Dark Knight! I'm hearing wildness from Hancock, anything from dismal failure and making less than $60 mill, all the way to ultra hit and making $140-$150 million...... WHAT'S THE TRUTH?? Lol, seriously, got any hints for me man? I'd really like some direction here, lol.
www.the-numbers.com are not official yet, it usually is made official around 5pm PST. SO check back around then. I hope to be back from work by then and I'll check then :-D
Thanks for all your support man! It's awesome having you as a guide in these movie markets! So please tell me what you and your wife think of Hancock and the Dark Knight! I'm hearing wildness from Hancock, anything from dismal failure and making less than $60 mill, all the way to ultra hit and making $140-$150 million...... WHAT'S THE TRUTH?? Lol, seriously, got any hints for me man? I'd really like some direction here, lol.
100
lucidstates
DUDE, I loooooved the market you made about our Q's :-D Hahahaha
Just to let you know, WITHOUT bragging *cough* of course, LOL, Your SUPER successful market suspended with $143,818 in bets and mine suspended with $170,378 ... GREAT Q man, congrats on hitting a near $150k!!! Like I said, I've only had just now my second and then third Q's top $100k... And I've been playing since January :-D So yeah, GREAT job man!!! :-D
Just to let you know, WITHOUT bragging *cough* of course, LOL, Your SUPER successful market suspended with $143,818 in bets and mine suspended with $170,378 ... GREAT Q man, congrats on hitting a near $150k!!! Like I said, I've only had just now my second and then third Q's top $100k... And I've been playing since January :-D So yeah, GREAT job man!!! :-D
Hi!
Re: "To settle for YES one of these will hold the top spot for soundtracks on Billboard.com on 7/31/08, regardless of the date of the chart, simply what shown in the first position on 7/31/08."
I'm not familiar with the Billboard.com site ... is there a chance the position could change during the day (07/3/08) -- depending on what time someone looked at it?
-Roger
Re: "To settle for YES one of these will hold the top spot for soundtracks on Billboard.com on 7/31/08, regardless of the date of the chart, simply what shown in the first position on 7/31/08."
I'm not familiar with the Billboard.com site ... is there a chance the position could change during the day (07/3/08) -- depending on what time someone looked at it?
-Roger
Sorry dude, nothing is jumping out at me. I don't think the outcry will be very big because 2 or 3 cents a liter is minor considering the price of fuel has basically doubled recently.
The BC government has conveniently scheduled a 100 dollar bonus cheque for citizens at the same time. Vancouver has a large portion of protest types in its population but this won't go down as anything huge in my opinion. I had not heard that BC was going to do this and I have no idea if other provinces are considering it. Trying to research each provinces plans may be difficult. I wish I had more to offer but I don't have much time these days. I am preparing to go to work out of town for a while. Major hours, its going to have a serious impact on my ability to participate here.
The BC government has conveniently scheduled a 100 dollar bonus cheque for citizens at the same time. Vancouver has a large portion of protest types in its population but this won't go down as anything huge in my opinion. I had not heard that BC was going to do this and I have no idea if other provinces are considering it. Trying to research each provinces plans may be difficult. I wish I had more to offer but I don't have much time these days. I am preparing to go to work out of town for a while. Major hours, its going to have a serious impact on my ability to participate here.
Thanks valornhonor! No, I wouldn't use the numbers I gave for an equation on how the hits are moving!! I wouldn't want ot be responsible for the bets on that way - It was just a rounded up estimate, and the numbers for both clips are actually moving a lot at the moment :-) Exciting stuff
96
lucidstates
Dude, I'm sorry so many peeps are being nit-picky about your Q's! I'm really getting tired of all this over-complicating our creating abilities!
I posted a comment here for ya: http://www.hubdub.com/m10033/Will_any_states_with_multiple_NFL_teams_have_a_tie_in_Presidential_vote_count#newcomment
Don't let it get ya down. Just keep on making great Q's! I was soooo mad when they did this junk to me a few weeks back, that I almost stopped making Q's. But I was encouraged by the real happy users to keep it up despite some people's nit-picking, so I did and I'm really glad I did!
So keep it up man, I LOOOOVE your Q's!! You are very unique and thought provoking in your Q's! So you've got at least one loyal bettor in me :-D
I posted a comment here for ya: http://www.hubdub.com/m10033/Will_any_states_with_multiple_NFL_teams_have_a_tie_in_Presidential_vote_count#newcomment
Don't let it get ya down. Just keep on making great Q's! I was soooo mad when they did this junk to me a few weeks back, that I almost stopped making Q's. But I was encouraged by the real happy users to keep it up despite some people's nit-picking, so I did and I'm really glad I did!
So keep it up man, I LOOOOVE your Q's!! You are very unique and thought provoking in your Q's! So you've got at least one loyal bettor in me :-D
Yeah I had read that about him naming his child that. I figure him being so close to movie industry kinda knows the reference to the old western movie. I enjoy having a unique name.
93
lucidstates
I LOVE the new pic!!! This film is gonna be a monster hit!!! THANKS SOOOO MUCH for the tips on it man :-D Tell your wife I owe you two some drinks or somethin' :-D
92
lucidstates
Congrats my man on your 1st $100K Q!!! It's reallllllllly fun when you see how much people be lovin' your Q's! I totally dig it, makes me feel oh sooo special, hehe :-D Now if only I could make ALL that money that's bet on em, or at least a sall commission would be nice :-P Yano, like as a reward for our efforts, hehe :-D
V&H, thanks for your shout.
I am aware of Americans being "born patriots". That's ok for me. Really. In the recent struggle on the comment thread of that question I just felt offended by some other users because their argumentation was off-topic and aimed on me as a person.
I must admit I sometimes seem to misunderstand what people write but I am fine apologizing for it and change my position accordingly. What I do not like is to be labeled "ignorant".
Anyway, thanks your frankness,
kruijs
BTW: "test" worked :)
I am aware of Americans being "born patriots". That's ok for me. Really. In the recent struggle on the comment thread of that question I just felt offended by some other users because their argumentation was off-topic and aimed on me as a person.
I must admit I sometimes seem to misunderstand what people write but I am fine apologizing for it and change my position accordingly. What I do not like is to be labeled "ignorant".
Anyway, thanks your frankness,
kruijs
BTW: "test" worked :)
I selected my current avatar because it represents to me how the children of Africa continue to live in a world of shit and the world thinks supplying them with access to cheap electronics is 'fundamental change'. - I don't know who the artist is. I come across this stuff on the internet and have desires to share em.
I'm up to date on the story about the 12 year old Canadian girl who sued her Dad. That's messed up. Poor Dad must be going through hell right about now.
86
randburg
A Google group for hubdub's old fogies...I like that!! The entry qualification is exceedingly simple: anyone who didn't grow up on a computer, and that really does make us old fogies.
I see your viewpoint about comments on certain subjects (like this one) getting spread over several profiles. I have not really thought about that aspect before. I have always liked that the Spitzer discussion fell mostly (and forever) under a Spitzer market. The same with satyaki, etc. It was easy to follow and find again, being under the appropriate market. But for the three of us -- and possibly more -- to follow this conversation will be tricky...And I understand that it would be easier to put something like this on getsatisfaction, to "get it altogether somewhere"...
And yet, my understanding of getsatisfaction is just that: getting satisfaction in a knock down drag out fight, not a friendly discussion (like this one)...So, I see getsatisfaction as an unfriendly court of last resort, a waste of several hours time wading through genuine venting, and an unpleasant experience. I agree that at times it is necessary and a good thing, but I sure don't want to do it everyday.
Wouldn't it be nice if there was a "friendly discussion board", or something like that...? Wouldn't it be great if we could have instant messaging between people on our "friends" list? The "shout" system only works half way...
I see your viewpoint about comments on certain subjects (like this one) getting spread over several profiles. I have not really thought about that aspect before. I have always liked that the Spitzer discussion fell mostly (and forever) under a Spitzer market. The same with satyaki, etc. It was easy to follow and find again, being under the appropriate market. But for the three of us -- and possibly more -- to follow this conversation will be tricky...And I understand that it would be easier to put something like this on getsatisfaction, to "get it altogether somewhere"...
And yet, my understanding of getsatisfaction is just that: getting satisfaction in a knock down drag out fight, not a friendly discussion (like this one)...So, I see getsatisfaction as an unfriendly court of last resort, a waste of several hours time wading through genuine venting, and an unpleasant experience. I agree that at times it is necessary and a good thing, but I sure don't want to do it everyday.
Wouldn't it be nice if there was a "friendly discussion board", or something like that...? Wouldn't it be great if we could have instant messaging between people on our "friends" list? The "shout" system only works half way...
vnh (and I also see my old buddy randburg has related thoughts),
For me it isn't really a privacy issue, I've been connected long enough to know that anything I say (type) on the 'net is public. It's the lack of conversational cohesion that I find irksome. OTOH, my kids consider it completely natural ... maybe we are showing our age. At any rate, we're either going to adapt, create a Google group for HubDub's "old fogies", or exchange email addresses (publicly, shudder)
I've likened HubDub's social networking model to a mall ... you know, it's so annoying that you have to walk past all the stores to get to the escalator. On HubDub, if you want to follow a conversation, you might have to visit 15-20 profiles and (attempt to) discern the threads of a particular conversation out of all the conversational threads extant in each user's profile.
Is it an intentional strategy of HubDub, or just a consequence of the site's development?
For me it isn't really a privacy issue, I've been connected long enough to know that anything I say (type) on the 'net is public. It's the lack of conversational cohesion that I find irksome. OTOH, my kids consider it completely natural ... maybe we are showing our age. At any rate, we're either going to adapt, create a Google group for HubDub's "old fogies", or exchange email addresses (publicly, shudder)
I've likened HubDub's social networking model to a mall ... you know, it's so annoying that you have to walk past all the stores to get to the escalator. On HubDub, if you want to follow a conversation, you might have to visit 15-20 profiles and (attempt to) discern the threads of a particular conversation out of all the conversational threads extant in each user's profile.
Is it an intentional strategy of HubDub, or just a consequence of the site's development?
Sorry I was not able to get a City Streets market past the admins. You can try to create one if you want.
I haven't seen the article you speak of but I might side with the judge. If a 12 year old son is caught with a playboy should he lose access to books?
This is ridiculous... What is the method of enforcing this ruling? Does this child get an Mountie escort to go with her out of the house to a party or date or mall cruising since here grounding was overturned by the court?!
OTTAWA, Jun 18 - A Canadian court has lifted a 12-year-old girl's grounding, overturning her father's punishment for disobeying his orders to stay off the Internet, his lawyer said.
OTTAWA, Jun 18 - A Canadian court has lifted a 12-year-old girl's grounding, overturning her father's punishment for disobeying his orders to stay off the Internet, his lawyer said.
Just looked at the Obama/Wall-E market. Great!
Was thinking you could compare some medal counts with something in politics as well. Electoral college votes? Something related to conventions? Just a thought.
Was thinking you could compare some medal counts with something in politics as well. Electoral college votes? Something related to conventions? Just a thought.
79
randburg
Actually hubdub runs like an open telephone line, a conference call, an old-fashioned "party line" where everyone can pick up the phone in the middle of a conversation AND have a say...
I think it is part of the hubdub concept that there are NO private conversations. To that end, I prefer discussions to appear under the appropriate prediction and not some "thread" elsewhere that you need to be a magician to find. I know there are two different schools of thought on this, but I don't want to spend a lot of time pooring over getsatisfaction to find out WHO was unhappy about WHAT. I prefer to see an issue discussed and hopefully resolved right under the prediction. Fortunately we are all entitled to differing viewpoints and we are probably all "right" as well, each in our own way...
I think it is part of the hubdub concept that there are NO private conversations. To that end, I prefer discussions to appear under the appropriate prediction and not some "thread" elsewhere that you need to be a magician to find. I know there are two different schools of thought on this, but I don't want to spend a lot of time pooring over getsatisfaction to find out WHO was unhappy about WHAT. I prefer to see an issue discussed and hopefully resolved right under the prediction. Fortunately we are all entitled to differing viewpoints and we are probably all "right" as well, each in our own way...
vnh,
Was your shout on my profile a response to the comment I made on your, "Fill the pool with gold", question? It seems that it is (was), but I find the social networking aspect of HubDub incredibly confusing. It is much easier to follow a topic on a thread in a forum, than to constantly navigate from profile to profile trying to piece together the threads of a "conversation". I'm probably just "old school" ... or maybe just "old".
Regards,
AAA
Was your shout on my profile a response to the comment I made on your, "Fill the pool with gold", question? It seems that it is (was), but I find the social networking aspect of HubDub incredibly confusing. It is much easier to follow a topic on a thread in a forum, than to constantly navigate from profile to profile trying to piece together the threads of a "conversation". I'm probably just "old school" ... or maybe just "old".
Regards,
AAA
77
randburg
I noticed your discussion with lucid a few days ago, and I just wanted you to know that you are in my thoughts and prayers. And hope that you will find something that you will enjoy soon. It's a bit of a tough time for all. I'm trying to complete a long-distance move but can't sell my house...
76
randburg
I'm sorry the Hamas truce prediction was voided, because I liked the question. But it would have been awfully difficult to settle. I am actually very impressed that Israel and Hamas have worked out any kind of truce at all. I would have predicted AGAINST even the possibility that they could work out a truce! And somehow I didn't read anywhere about this truce. I thank you for pointing this out! As I have a particular interest in the Middle East, I will be watching this carefully for a while. Thanks Adam!
Whoa! Another like-minded thinking person. Thank you for sharing your insight and allowing me to feel like I'm not the only lunatic in this asylum.
HOLY COW!!!
I finally saw that facebook page... I thought I was the one and only original one!
I didn't know you knew my name?!?!
I finally saw that facebook page... I thought I was the one and only original one!
I didn't know you knew my name?!?!
Cool! Thanks again, although I'm creative by nature, math itself doesn't come naturally to me. I had fun trying to figure this out though with the help of my four sons, ok so the one year old didn't help a lot but he did help me to streamline it by tugging on me.
I like the swimming pool idea. Thinking about even a third of that swimming pool filled with solid gold is a pretty incredible picture.
The calculations are fine... except that if the price of gold goes down, $45 trillion would fill more of the pool, not less. So by my calculations all of the water gone puts gold at about $290, and 1/3 around $870. The starting odds seem reasonable.
I like the unit conversion site. It's also fun to do google conversions (http://ww
The calculations are fine... except that if the price of gold goes down, $45 trillion would fill more of the pool, not less. So by my calculations all of the water gone puts gold at about $290, and 1/3 around $870. The starting odds seem reasonable.
I like the unit conversion site. It's also fun to do google conversions (http://ww



