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Latest predictions

3 hours ago
fenricstoast predicted Unknown by settlement date, other , none of above (H$20 at 83%) on Pirates in the English Channel?
3 hours ago
fenricstoast predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$20 at 69%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
13 hours ago

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Featured question

Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?.

Yes
40%
No
60%

Read more...

Activity: H$10,757
Question suspends in 3 years
1 7 30 365
day(s)
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2 predictors (1 day)

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

Current forecast: less than 45% of the votes in favor (70% chance3%)
1 predictor (1 day)

Pirates in the English Channel?

Current forecast: Unknown by settlement date, other , none of above (83% chance)
1 predictor (1 day)

How many German Landesbanken will survive the year 2009?

Current forecast: No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! (91% chance2%)
1 predictor (1 day)

Will Gilead Shalit be released by end of 2009?

Current forecast: 27% chance
1 predictor (1 day)

Who will become the new foreign policy chief of the European Union?

Current forecast: David Miliband (British foreign secretary) (51% chance2%)
1 predictor (1 day)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (83% chance9%)
1 predictor (1 day)

Romanian presidential elections 2009, who will win?

Current forecast: Mircea Geoana (54% chance2%)
1 predictor (1 day)

Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Current forecast: 49% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Current forecast: 40% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

"Doomsday 2012" to occur

Current forecast: 5% chance
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