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Latest predictions

6 hours ago
turbophon predicted Bundeswehr still in Afghanistan on 31th Dec 2011 (H$5,000 at 81%) on When will the German army Bundeswehr finally leave Afghanistan?
7 hours ago

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Featured question

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?.

less than 45% of the votes in favor
54%
45% to less than 50% of the votes in favor
38%
50% to less than 55% of the votes in favor
5%
55% or more of the votes in favor
3%

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Activity: H$83,064
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2 predictors (1 day)

Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Current forecast: 27% chance 8%
1 predictor (1 day)

Who will be President first?

Current forecast: Morgan Tsvangirai (58% chance6%)
1 predictor (1 day)

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

Current forecast: less than 45% of the votes in favor (54% chance16%)
1 predictor (1 day)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (95% chance3%)
1 predictor (1 day)

Will Gilead Shalit be released by end of 2009?

Current forecast: 25% chance 2%
1 predictor (1 day)

How many women in the second Barroso Commission?

Current forecast: Eight-Nine (50% chance7%)
1 predictor (1 day)

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

Current forecast: General argeement on further negotiations (62% chance)
1 predictor (1 day)

When will the German army Bundeswehr finally leave Afghanistan?

Current forecast: Bundeswehr still in Afghanistan on 31th Dec 2011 (89% chance89%)
1 predictor (1 day)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (62% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

North Korea's Kim Jong Il: Will China take him on militarily?

Current forecast: No - China takes no military action. (92% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Australia accept any Gitmo detainees?

Current forecast: No - Australia doesn't take any Gitmo Detainees (82% chance)
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