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Latest predictions

1 day ago
bernardo predicted 45% to less than 50% of the votes in favor (H$1,000 at 31%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
1 day ago
joffi predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$50 at 71%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
2 days ago
bernardo predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$500 at 49%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

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1 predictor (1 day)

Who will be President first?

Current forecast: Morgan Tsvangirai (58% chance5%)
1 predictor (1 day)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (95% chance3%)
1 predictor (1 day)

When will the German army Bundeswehr finally leave Afghanistan?

Current forecast: Bundeswehr still in Afghanistan on 31th Dec 2011 (89% chance89%)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will there be lower tax rates in Germany in 2010?

Current forecast: 39% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Will the UK have left the EU by the end of 2012?

Current forecast: 16% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Will it snow in Moscow this Winter?

Current forecast: 95% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Who will win the next election for the German Bundestag?

Current forecast: CDU/CSU-FDP (36% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

EU Enlargement: When will Serbia receive "candidate country" status?

Current forecast: January 2012 and beyond (44% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

How many women in the second Barroso Commission?

Current forecast: Eight-Nine (50% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

How long will the CDU/SPD-coalition in Thuringia hold?

Current forecast: It is Jan 1st, 2012 and Lieberknecht is still MP (58% chance)
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