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Latest predictions

1 day ago
bernardo predicted 45% to less than 50% of the votes in favor (H$1,000 at 31%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
2 days ago
joffi predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$50 at 71%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
3 days ago
bernardo predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$500 at 49%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

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Featured question

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11 predictors (30 days)

Will it snow in Moscow this Winter?

Current forecast: 95% chance 2%
7 predictors (30 days)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (95% chance28%)
6 predictors (30 days)

Will Marian Lupu become the next president of Moldova in 2009?

Current forecast: 56% chance 7%
6 predictors (30 days)

Will it be a White Christmas in Moscow this year?

Current forecast: 72% chance 72%
6 predictors (30 days)

Who will win the next election for the German Bundestag?

Current forecast: CDU/CSU-FDP (36% chance36%)
6 predictors (30 days)

Will Germany raise VAT after elections in 2009?

Current forecast: 29% chance 20%
5 predictors (30 days)

How long will the CDU/SPD-coalition in Thuringia hold?

Current forecast: It is Jan 1st, 2012 and Lieberknecht is still MP (58% chance58%)
5 predictors (30 days)

EU Enlargement: When will Serbia receive "candidate country" status?

Current forecast: January 2012 and beyond (44% chance44%)
4 predictors (30 days)

Will France ban the burqa in 2009?

Current forecast: 10% chance 2%
3 predictors (30 days)

How many German Landesbanken will survive the year 2009?

Current forecast: No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! (90% chance9%)
3 predictors (30 days)
curios

WILL the British museums return any Ethiopian treasures stolen in 1868?

Current forecast: 6% chance 35%
3 predictors (30 days)

What will be the status of the nuclear power plant in Krümmel/Germany by July 2010?

Current forecast: Producing energy. (68% chance26%)
2 predictors (30 days)

Will al-Qaida claim responsible for a terrorist act in Germany, after the Sept. 27th elections?

Current forecast: Not this year (90% chance15%)
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