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Latest predictions

1 day ago
bernardo predicted 45% to less than 50% of the votes in favor (H$1,000 at 31%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
2 days ago
joffi predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$50 at 71%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
3 days ago
bernardo predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$500 at 49%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

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Featured question

Will any Italian city approve or allow a second atheist bus ad in 2009?.

Yes
37%
No
63%

Read more...

Activity: H$11,691
Question suspends in 4 weeks
1 7 30 365
day(s)
See:
 
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Will France ban the burqa in 2009?

Current forecast: 10% chance 10%
69 predictors (365 days)

Will Putin become Russia's President before the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 8% chance 28%
44 predictors (365 days)

Who will be the next King or Queen of England?

Current forecast: Charles (67% chance5%)
37 predictors (365 days)

Will al-Qaida claim responsible for a terrorist act in Germany, after the Sept. 27th elections?

Current forecast: Not this year (90% chance90%)
34 predictors (365 days)

Who will be President first?

Current forecast: Morgan Tsvangirai (58% chance58%)
26 predictors (365 days)
curios

WILL the British museums return any Ethiopian treasures stolen in 1868?

Current forecast: 6% chance 44%
20 predictors (365 days)

Will Radovan Karadzic die before his trial ends at the Hague?

Current forecast: 31% chance 2%
18 predictors (365 days)

Will any Italian city approve or allow a second atheist bus ad in 2009?

Current forecast: 37% chance 37%
15 predictors (365 days)

When will a new nuclear arms treaty be ratified between the U.S. and Russia?

Current forecast: no treaty in 2009 (98% chance98%)
14 predictors (365 days)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (95% chance95%)
13 predictors (365 days)

Will it snow in Moscow this Winter?

Current forecast: 95% chance 95%
12 predictors (365 days)

Will Germany raise VAT after elections in 2009?

Current forecast: 29% chance 29%
12 predictors (365 days)

Will Greenland hold a referendum on full independence before 2020?

Current forecast: 51% chance 1%
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