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Latest predictions

2 days ago
bernardo predicted 45% to less than 50% of the votes in favor (H$1,000 at 31%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
2 days ago
joffi predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$50 at 71%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?
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bernardo predicted less than 45% of the votes in favor (H$500 at 49%) on What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

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Featured question

Will there be lower tax rates in Germany in 2010?.

Yes
39%
No
61%

Read more...

Activity: H$8,375
Question suspends in 1 year
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day(s)
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2 predictors (7 days)

How many German Landesbanken will survive the year 2009?

Current forecast: No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! (90% chance)
2 predictors (7 days)

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Current forecast: 44% chance 5%
1 predictor (7 days)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (95% chance3%)
1 predictor (7 days)
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Current forecast: 6% chance
1 predictor (7 days)

How many women in the second Barroso Commission?

Current forecast: Eight-Nine (50% chance7%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Who will win the next election for the German Bundestag?

Current forecast: CDU/CSU-FDP (36% chance)
1 predictor (7 days)

When will the German army Bundeswehr finally leave Afghanistan?

Current forecast: Bundeswehr still in Afghanistan on 31th Dec 2011 (89% chance89%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Who will be President first?

Current forecast: Morgan Tsvangirai (58% chance6%)
0 predictors (7 days)

Will there be lower tax rates in Germany in 2010?

Current forecast: 39% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

Will it snow in Moscow this Winter?

Current forecast: 95% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

EU Enlargement: When will Serbia receive "candidate country" status?

Current forecast: January 2012 and beyond (44% chance)
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