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Featured question

Will Ehud Olmert be found guilty?.

Found guilty on one count
31%
Found guilty on two counts
23%
Found guilty on three or more counts
10%
Found not guilty in all cases
36%

Read more...

Activity: H$3,814
Question suspends in 1 year
1 7 30 365
day(s)
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1 predictor (1 day)

Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Current forecast: 40% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (63% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Iran test a nuclear weapon prior to 2011?

Current forecast: 46% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Will any Irani minister get arrested by Interpol during 2009?

Current forecast: 6% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Ehud Olmert be found guilty?

Current forecast: Found not guilty in all cases (36% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Gilead Shalit be released by end of 2009?

Current forecast: 27% chance
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