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Featured question

1 7 30 365
day(s)
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5 predictors (1 day)

Will Gilead Shalit be released by end of 2009?

Current forecast: 30% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Will any Irani minister get arrested by Interpol during 2009?

Current forecast: 6% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (62% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Ehud Olmert be found guilty of corruption?

Current forecast: Found not guilty in all cases (36% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Current forecast: 40% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Iran test a nuclear weapon prior to 2011?

Current forecast: 43% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

What will be the nature of the stringent international sanctions?

Current forecast: Western leaders pout & fume, no sanctions imposed (66% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will there be another Israel-Lebanon War?

Current forecast: 20% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?

Current forecast: He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (71% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Mahmoud Abbas run in January's Palestinian elections?

Current forecast: There will be no elections betfore settlement date (93% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Pakistani Taliban Leader Hakimullah Mehsud be caught in 2009?

Current forecast: 5% chance
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