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Featured question

When will North Korean nuclear disarmament talks start again?.

Before 2009
1%
2009
57%
2010
25%
2011+ or never
16%

Read more...

Activity: H$22,684
Question suspends in 1 year
1 7 30 365
day(s)
See:
 
98 predictors (365 days)

Will the appeal of the UN peacekeepers, sentenced for mutiny after protesting over pay, succeed?

Current forecast: No, appeal does not succeed, sentence unchanged (62% chance62%)
88 predictors (365 days)

Will a new global reserve currency replace the US Dollar in 2009?

Current forecast: 3% chance 3%
87 predictors (365 days)

When will the expelled aid groups be allowed to continue their activities in Sudan?

Current forecast: President Omar al-Bashir is not arrested first (71% chance71%)
71 predictors (365 days)

Will the Pope excommunicate Nancy Pelosi from the Catholic church in 2009?

Current forecast: 6% chance 6%
54 predictors (365 days)

Will Mugabe face trial at The Hague before 2012?

Current forecast: 26% chance 1%
43 predictors (365 days)

When will North Korean nuclear disarmament talks start again?

Current forecast: 2009 (57% chance57%)
42 predictors (365 days)

When will Mugabe lose power?

Current forecast: 2010 or later (90% chance58%)
36 predictors (365 days)

Will any country mandate any group of it's population submit to H1N1 Flu Vaccine shots this year?

Current forecast: The H1N1 Flu Vaccine is not mandated anywhere (58% chance58%)
35 predictors (365 days)

Two to (con)tango--will oil hit $200 within the next twelve months?

Current forecast: 6% chance 6%
33 predictors (365 days)

Will the US and Russia sign a treaty banning space-based weapons in 2009?

Current forecast: 7% chance 7%
28 predictors (365 days)

Zimbabwe: Tsvangirai - Mugabe: Who will resign or leave office first in 2009 ?

Current forecast: Neither happens (96% chance96%)
27 predictors (365 days)

Which African country will the Obama administration attack first?

Current forecast: None (50% chance13%)
25 predictors (365 days)

Will there be armed conflict in Zimbabwe before the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 23% chance 23%
23 predictors (365 days)

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

Current forecast: General argeement on further negotiations (64% chance64%)
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