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Latest predictions

6 hours ago
rdeggau predicted Northern or Southern Africa (H$100 at 13%) on From which region will the next elected African UN Security Council member be?
6 hours ago

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Featured question

Will Iran announce a suspension of its Uranium enrichment program in 2009?.

Yes
18%
No
82%

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Activity: H$55,285
Question suspends in 7 weeks
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4 predictors (1 day)

From which region will the next elected Asian UN Security Council member be?

Current forecast: South Central Asia (49% chance49%)
4 predictors (1 day)

From which region will the next elected African UN Security Council member be?

Current forecast: Eastern Africa (37% chance37%)
2 predictors (1 day)

Pirates in the English Channel?

Current forecast: Unknown by settlement date, other , none of above (95% chance12%)
1 predictor (1 day)

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

Current forecast: less than 45% of the votes in favor (70% chance)
1 predictor (1 day)

Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Current forecast: 40% chance
1 predictor (1 day)

When will (recent) pictures of Kim Jong-Un be released?

Current forecast: In 2010 or later, or never (64% chance1%)
0 predictors (1 day)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (83% chance)
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