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Latest predictions

3 hours ago
bigken1 predicted Comprehensive treaty signed by some countries (H$200 at 18%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?
3 hours ago
bigken1 predicted General argeement on further negotiations (H$444 at 67%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?
7 hours ago

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Featured question

From which region will the next elected Latin American or Caribbean UN Security Council member be?.

Caribbean
32%
Central America
36%
South America
32%

Read more...

Activity: H$1,903
Question suspends in 46 weeks
1 7 30 365
day(s)
See:
 
27 predictors (30 days)

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

Current forecast: General argeement on further negotiations (66% chance66%)
25 predictors (30 days)

Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance 45%
16 predictors (30 days)

What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?

Current forecast: He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (71% chance71%)
16 predictors (30 days)

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

Current forecast: less than 45% of the votes in favor (54% chance5%)
12 predictors (30 days)

Will Pakistani Taliban Leader Hakimullah Mehsud be caught in 2009?

Current forecast: 5% chance 5%
12 predictors (30 days)

Will Gilead Shalit be released by end of 2009?

Current forecast: 30% chance 2%
11 predictors (30 days)

North Korea Attacks! Will they attack a US or South Korean ship in 2009?

Current forecast: 12% chance 2%
10 predictors (30 days)

Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance 2%
9 predictors (30 days)

Will Mahmoud Abbas run in January's Palestinian elections?

Current forecast: There will be no elections betfore settlement date (93% chance93%)
8 predictors (30 days)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (62% chance11%)
8 predictors (30 days)

From which region will the next elected Latin American or Caribbean UN Security Council member be?

Current forecast: Central America (36% chance36%)
7 predictors (30 days)

Will a new global reserve currency replace the US Dollar in 2009?

Current forecast: 5% chance 1%
7 predictors (30 days)

Will Marian Lupu become the next president of Moldova in 2009?

Current forecast: 44% chance 5%
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