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2 hours ago
neopugg predicted Comprehensive treaty signed by some countries (H$20 at 23%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?
2 hours ago
neopugg predicted Comprehensive treaty signed by some countries (H$50 at 23%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

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Featured question

From which region will the next elected Asian UN Security Council member be?.

Eastern Asia
17%
South Central Asia
42%
Southeastern Asia
29%
Western Asia
12%

Read more...

Activity: H$1,873
Question suspends in 46 weeks
1 7 30 365
day(s)
See:
 
23 predictors (30 days)

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

Current forecast: General argeement on further negotiations (62% chance62%)
22 predictors (30 days)

Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Current forecast: 4% chance 51%
18 predictors (30 days)

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

Current forecast: less than 45% of the votes in favor (54% chance5%)
15 predictors (30 days)

What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?

Current forecast: He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (71% chance71%)
12 predictors (30 days)

Will Pakistani Taliban Leader Hakimullah Mehsud be caught in 2009?

Current forecast: 6% chance 6%
11 predictors (30 days)

North Korea Attacks! Will they attack a US or South Korean ship in 2009?

Current forecast: 13% chance 1%
11 predictors (30 days)

Will it snow in Moscow this Winter?

Current forecast: 95% chance 2%
10 predictors (30 days)

Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance 2%
9 predictors (30 days)

Will Mahmoud Abbas run in January's Palestinian elections?

Current forecast: There will be no elections betfore settlement date (82% chance82%)
8 predictors (30 days)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (62% chance11%)
8 predictors (30 days)

From which region will the next elected Latin American or Caribbean UN Security Council member be?

Current forecast: Central America (36% chance36%)
7 predictors (30 days)

When will Gazprom next reduce gas shipments to Ukraine?

Current forecast: no interruption this year (95% chance28%)
7 predictors (30 days)

From which region will the next elected Asian UN Security Council member be?

Current forecast: South Central Asia (42% chance42%)
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