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pheng predicted General argeement on further negotiations (H$100 at 63%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?
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Featured question

Will the appeal of the UN peacekeepers, sentenced for mutiny after protesting over pay, succeed?.

Yes, appeal succeeds, sentence changed
32%
No, appeal does not succeed, sentence unchanged
62%
No appeal reported filed by suspension
6%

Read more...

Activity: H$50,349
Question suspends in 1 week
1 7 30 365
day(s)
See:
 
188 predictors (365 days)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (62% chance62%)
171 predictors (365 days)

Will the Palestinian State be established in 2009?

Current forecast: No (98% chance98%)
159 predictors (365 days)

Will Osama Bin Laden be 'found' in 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance 9%
144 predictors (365 days)

When will Kim Jong-Il have died?

Current forecast: After 2009 / Never (95% chance95%)
103 predictors (365 days)

Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 12% chance 12%
102 predictors (365 days)

Will the UN Special Tribunal for Lebanon reveal a Syrian involvement?

Current forecast: It closes inconclusively (46% chance46%)
99 predictors (365 days)

Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance 9%
98 predictors (365 days)

Will the appeal of the UN peacekeepers, sentenced for mutiny after protesting over pay, succeed?

Current forecast: No, appeal does not succeed, sentence unchanged (62% chance62%)
97 predictors (365 days)

Will Aung San Suu Kyi be freed from house arrest in 2009?

Current forecast: 5% chance 5%
89 predictors (365 days)

Will France ban the burqa in 2009?

Current forecast: 10% chance 10%
88 predictors (365 days)

Will a new global reserve currency replace the US Dollar in 2009?

Current forecast: 3% chance 3%
87 predictors (365 days)

When will the expelled aid groups be allowed to continue their activities in Sudan?

Current forecast: President Omar al-Bashir is not arrested first (71% chance71%)
73 predictors (365 days)

Will the armistice agreement between N & S Korea be broken in 2009?

Current forecast: 4% chance 4%
71 predictors (365 days)

Will Fidel Castro make any foreign trips in 2009?

Current forecast: 15% chance 15%
71 predictors (365 days)

Will the Pope excommunicate Nancy Pelosi from the Catholic church in 2009?

Current forecast: 6% chance 6%
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