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Featured question
Who will declare war first?.
| USA |
| |||
| Israel |
| |||
| Iran |
| |||
| None |
|
Activity: H$41,470
Question suspends in 2 yearsSee:
171 predictors (365 days)
Will the Palestinian State be established in 2009?
Current forecast: No (96% chance
96%)144 predictors (365 days)
When will Kim Jong-Il have died?
Current forecast: After 2009 / Never (95% chance
95%)103 predictors (365 days)
Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 12% chance
12%102 predictors (365 days)
Will the UN Special Tribunal for Lebanon reveal a Syrian involvement?
Current forecast: It closes inconclusively (46% chance
46%)99 predictors (365 days)
Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?
Current forecast: 9% chance
9%98 predictors (365 days)
Will the appeal of the UN peacekeepers, sentenced for mutiny after protesting over pay, succeed?
Current forecast: No, appeal does not succeed, sentence unchanged (62% chance
62%)97 predictors (365 days)
Will Aung San Suu Kyi be freed from house arrest in 2009?
Current forecast: 5% chance
5%88 predictors (365 days)
Will a new global reserve currency replace the US Dollar in 2009?
Current forecast: 5% chance
5%87 predictors (365 days)
When will the expelled aid groups be allowed to continue their activities in Sudan?
Current forecast: President Omar al-Bashir is not arrested first (71% chance
71%)73 predictors (365 days)
Will the armistice agreement between N & S Korea be broken in 2009?
Current forecast: 4% chance
4%71 predictors (365 days)
Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?
Current forecast: 5% chance
5%71 predictors (365 days)
Will Fidel Castro make any foreign trips in 2009?
Current forecast: 15% chance
15%





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