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Latest predictions

8 mins ago
1 hour ago
mdarrel predicted General argeement on further negotiations (H$100 at 66%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

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Featured question

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?.

Comprehensive treaty signed by all countries
2%
Comprehensive treaty signed by some countries
18%
General argeement on further negotiations
67%
No general commitment at all
14%

Read more...

Activity: H$11,116
Question suspends in 2 weeks
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24 predictors (7 days)

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

Current forecast: General argeement on further negotiations (67% chance67%)
14 predictors (7 days)

Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Current forecast: 5% chance 37%
7 predictors (7 days)

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

Current forecast: less than 45% of the votes in favor (54% chance11%)
6 predictors (7 days)

Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance 1%
2 predictors (7 days)

Will Marian Lupu become the next president of Moldova in 2009?

Current forecast: 44% chance 5%
2 predictors (7 days)

What will be the nature of the stringent international sanctions?

Current forecast: Western leaders pout & fume, no sanctions imposed (66% chance9%)
2 predictors (7 days)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (62% chance1%)
2 predictors (7 days)

Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 12% chance
2 predictors (7 days)

Will Gilead Shalit be released by end of 2009?

Current forecast: 28% chance 5%
2 predictors (7 days)

How many German Landesbanken will survive the year 2009?

Current forecast: No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! (90% chance12%)
2 predictors (7 days)

Will Mahmoud Abbas run in January's Palestinian elections?

Current forecast: There will be no elections betfore settlement date (94% chance12%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Who will be President first?

Current forecast: Morgan Tsvangirai (58% chance6%)
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