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Latest predictions

29 mins ago
2 hours ago
neopugg predicted Comprehensive treaty signed by some countries (H$20 at 23%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?
2 hours ago
neopugg predicted Comprehensive treaty signed by some countries (H$50 at 23%) on Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

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Featured question

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?.

Comprehensive treaty signed by all countries
3%
Comprehensive treaty signed by some countries
24%
General argeement on further negotiations
62%
No general commitment at all
11%

Read more...

Activity: H$7,727
Question suspends in 2 weeks
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23 predictors (7 days)

Will the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen result in a comprehensive agreement?

Current forecast: General argeement on further negotiations (62% chance62%)
11 predictors (7 days)

Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Current forecast: 4% chance 39%
6 predictors (7 days)

What will be the result of the Swiss minaret building ban vote?

Current forecast: less than 45% of the votes in favor (54% chance11%)
6 predictors (7 days)

Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance
2 predictors (7 days)

Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 12% chance
2 predictors (7 days)

What will be the nature of the stringent international sanctions?

Current forecast: Western leaders pout & fume, no sanctions imposed (66% chance9%)
2 predictors (7 days)

How many German Landesbanken will survive the year 2009?

Current forecast: No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! (90% chance)
2 predictors (7 days)

Will Mahmoud Abbas run in January's Palestinian elections?

Current forecast: There will be no elections betfore settlement date (82% chance)
2 predictors (7 days)

Who will declare war first?

Current forecast: None (62% chance1%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Job market: Who leave office first -- Sylvio Berlusconi or Ewart Brown?

Current forecast: Ewart Brown (55% chance)
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